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WxUSAF

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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    Big jump south on 3k NAM too. Good for high elevations in northern MD verbatim.
  2. WxUSAF
    We’re gonna Jebwalk to Valhalla
  3. WxUSAF
    Only 1 out of 51 with nothing
  4. WxUSAF
    Wtf crazy uncle Ukie
  5. WxUSAF
    Trip to Austin booked and paid
  6. WxUSAF
    Seeing an MJO chart is starting to make my eye twitch
  7. WxUSAF
    @yoda is 900 years old and we’re losing him
  8. WxUSAF
    5” DCA, 7” BWI, 8” IAD all with mixing. 16” Mt PSU. Final call
  9. WxUSAF
    If this thing happens, that’s certainly the longest lead I’ve ever seen verify for a storm.
  10. WxUSAF
    ^thats an amazing signal given the lead time
  11. WxUSAF
    ^looks like even an indication of northern stream energy phasing in?
  12. WxUSAF
    More and more it seems to me that the MJO is just one forcing factor among many others. So many Mets have been taking it as some purely prescriptive forecaster.
  13. WxUSAF
    We’ve already been tracking this period for 2+ weeks and have 2 weeks to go. People are antsy and irritable. I know I’m looking forward to not hearing “MJO” for 8 more months starting March 15th.
  14. WxUSAF
    Yeah it’s something. At least euro still shows a favorable pattern at D10. New gfs SOP is that everything after D10 is to revert to April basically.
  15. WxUSAF
  16. WxUSAF
    Obviously some scatter still, but 12z GEFS looks fairly bullish for the psu storm
  17. WxUSAF
    I know this PD3 wave will likely be suppressed, but damn, the look of that storm brewing in the plains on all the globals around D7 gets my loins movin’…
  18. WxUSAF
    Early word is JB’s favoring 95-96 as his top analog
  19. WxUSAF
    Gets northern MD and the eastern shore actually
  20. WxUSAF
    Meanwhile the GGEM took a huge jump slower and stronger
  21. WxUSAF
    Just so I’m following, is the point of this conversation that the current D10 period does not look as favorable for a big snowstorm as it did when it was D15-25?
  22. WxUSAF
    More snow for us. Is that how that works?
  23. WxUSAF
    lol I don’t think our winter week in January held firm at all besides it being chilly. It was looking plausibly snowless even 48 hours before the Monday storm.
  24. WxUSAF
    JB promised us Michelangelo’s own personal arctic hounds, so I’m sure it’s coming!
  25. WxUSAF
    GEFS seems to like a few days earlier, but there’s a signal roughly at the same time as the eps on the 6z GEFS.
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