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John1122

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Everything posted by John1122

  1. Obviously can't trust the Euro at all, but what a crazy cold snow event. Alaska ratios.
  2. I'm honestly not sure. I was also driving north at the time. The atmosphere was apparently slightly different on/above the mountain than it was a few miles south in town. That different allowed ice nuclei to form.
  3. Spent a couple hours at a friend's house this evening. Heavy freezing mist to light freezing rain across town. Coming home, as soon as I gained about 300 feet in elevation over town it switched to snow. Tiny flakes but thick.
  4. Best hope, Google's AI model gives us a little hope, and it's been the best model this winter.
  5. Current QPF for mby after this system through 360. Euro .23 over 14 days. GFS .20 GFSAI .3 Euro AI .20 EPS AI .63 EPS .38 GEFS .70 Canadian Ens .70 We are 1 to 1.5 inches BN across all modeling for the period. Hopefully something changes but it's went from wild snow totals to grim drought conditions. We just have to hope the drought solution is incorrect but sadly, we've experienced cold/dry once already this winter.
  6. There wasn't nearly as much sleet as most models predicted, which is why I've gotten so much freezing rain. Especially crazy sleet totals the Canadian with some of its wonky runs. It got the idea of the mix storm first, but had too much sleet. But it often overdoes cold, so I assume that happened here.
  7. I just measured on a metal fence and a tree branch. I've got .31 ice accrual. Light freezing rain and up to 29 now.
  8. My warmest temperature for the after tomorrow on my 2 week forecast from TWC is 38/22 on February 7th. During that entire two weeks, it has zero precipitation. It's almost comical at that point.
  9. The horseshoe effect that shows up in East Tennessee at times, is also reflected by an even larger horseshoe at times like this. It's going to be much colder to our southwest, west, southeast and east by tomorrow morning. It's crazy how often systems cut in our area vs up the other side of the mountains. I'd guess for every system that goes from Tallahassee to Raleigh, 25 cut through some part of Tennessee.
  10. The 2 inches of snow and sleet are now about 3/4ths inch of ice. My dogs are around 35 pounds and they didn't sink in the snow, they walked on top of the crust without breaking through.
  11. This is insidious freezing rain. It's light, and with temps in the mid 20s, there no run off.
  12. Current road conditions. Someone had already spun across my driveway. The sleet has changed the snow consistency that had fallen from powder to much more compacted and thick feeling.
  13. Very heavy snow falling now. Flake size has increased. Not sure if that's the turn signal or not.
  14. The 18z 3k had me at 27 at 4pm. The HRRR keeps adjusting down as it runs each hour. Two hours ago it had 4pm at 25.
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