John1122
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Everything posted by John1122
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GFS looks to be coming on board with all other modeling. Snowing from Memphis to the Plateau by 10 or so Thursday morning.
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RGEM'd again. Further south with the frozen like the NAM. After the globals in the next few hours, may be time for another thread.
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This falls from 1pm to 7pm Thursday. Western areas get 1-2 inches between 7am-1pm. Plateau to SW VA, down to Loudon/Monroe gets roughly .5-1.5 more from 7pm to 1am.
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It's happening in the day time into evening on the Euro. Temps are in the upper 20s and lower 30s Thursday morning when the state starts seeing frozen.
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18z RGEM, it's still snowing over most of East Tennessee East of 75 and the 40 corridor N at the end of the run.
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Cumberland Mtn from LaFollette. The trees are awesome on days like today. -
It's holding in the upper 20s here and nothing much is melting. It's not even falling off the trees. Unless the sun comes out we probably won't see much more melting.
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Couple of photos I took about 30 minutes ago.
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I'd definitely take what the Canadian is selling. It and the RGEM were pretty good for this last event. I believe the Euro caught on last out of all the modeling. They were all painting with a broad brush, even the mesoscale models weren't fine tuned enough to be able to spot the extremes in small local areas with the just concluded event. You won't see many like it.
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Last night was such an extreme situation regarding heavy rain and warm ground that any little thing was a monkey wrench. But if you got under a great band or two you racked up. From MRX, a little broad brushed but mostly accurate imby.
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Even though it feels like it's not going to do much more here, MRX added me to the Winter Storm Warning and says up to 5 inches. Here's to hoping.
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Looks like I'm gonna end at around 2.5 inches unless the comma head backs the flow up my way over the next few hours. currently the rates have lessened to light snow. Think I was indeed in the too far East/West camp as the low transferred to the otherside of the Apps. Still, not too bad at all using the take 50 percent off what the snowfall map is showing method for mby. I think you guys to the East are fine for 6 or so more hours of snow as the comma pivots over you. It's mostly just getting started for you guys.
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The changeover is pretty strongly west to east based it seems. Middleboro was still rain a little white ago and it just changed to sleet east of here in Claiborne Co about 30 minutes ago.
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1.5 inches down so far. It's pure cement. Trees are already saggy.
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It's a odd event in that the snow line is moving S to N and N to S.
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When the mix started here the temp fell a fast 3 degrees in a few minutes. It's went down about 1.6 more since.
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From LaFollette at about 1300ft. Friend of mine about 5 miles S of there said it started snowing at 1:40.
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I-75 starting to have issues from 161 to 134.
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I knew the NWS was making a mistake not issuing a Winter storm warning there.
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Netflix worked. Fatties are ripping.
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It's snowing in LaFollette and Jellico under that green.
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It was doing that here about 15 minutes before sleet/graupel started falling. The changeover happened here at 36.8.
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After about 20 minutes it started sticking to cars/decks etc. Finally starting to overcome the graupel and get pure snow. Hoping the rates/flake size comes up soon. Been watching a show on Netflix for the last half hour. Gonna check back after I finish. Watched pot theory on the snow rate.
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When frozen started falling the temperature dropped 3 degrees in 10 minutes. It's stabilized since. 80 percent snow/20 percent sleet and graupel right now. Nickel and dime sized flakes currently.
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Just changed over to heavy snow/sleet combined. 36 degrees.
