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John1122

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Everything posted by John1122

  1. John1122
    Its rare to see NW Tennessee and NE Tennessee included in a snow cover map. It's slightly more common to see Memphis and Bristol with snow from a clown.
  2. John1122
    I've found it best to take those clown maps and shave off 40-60 percent for wet snows that aren't falling onto frozen ground. Sometimes you'll get over performance and they'll match up. You can snow board, clean it off and add the measurements up and you'll get closer to the clowns.
  3. John1122
    Depth is estimated taking into account compacting, ground temps, etc.
  4. John1122
    If we get low amp 8-1 into the heart of winter (Jan 15th-Feb 20th) I like our odds for more cold in the future.
  5. John1122
    GFS has ensemble support. Big uptick.
  6. John1122
    If the RAP was legit we'd have one of the best Memphis to Bristol events in many years.
  7. John1122
    It sounds counterintuitive but having wet ground when it's warmer actually aids in snow fall but if it approaches the rates modeled it will pile up and fast.
  8. John1122
    Thundersnow to get that rate.
  9. John1122
    RGEM steady as she goes. Hope it's correct. It's usually good with Northern stream energy but less so with the southern stream.
  10. John1122
    06z 3k is pretty nice for roughly the eastern half of the valley region from just east of Nash and points east. Brings some snow to most everyone though. Way better than it's lower res version put out.
  11. John1122
    Euro wasn't very enthusiastic. The 06z NAM bounced back from 00z a but. The 48hr HRRR at 06 was pretty good for quite a but of the area.
  12. John1122
    GFS remains in the thumper category. Looks like the NAM may be on an island on the North American modeling. Of course the NAM beyond 36-48 hours isn't great.
  13. John1122
    Rgem wasn't bad at all. Not quite 18z but a good forum wide event.
  14. John1122
    Spent part of the day in NE Alabama. Thickly humid there and upper 60s. Lots of rain showers off and on. Not sure how that may affect instability, if that even matters in this case. I assume tomorrow would be the biggest potential.
  15. John1122
    Canadian was good area wide.
  16. John1122
    The RGEM was about as good as it can get for about as much of the forum as possible.
  17. John1122
    GGem isn't bad for most of us and the Euro got slightly better too. Not sure how much will stick but a lot of us should see some flakes Sunday and Sunday night.
  18. John1122
    The GFS looks more what I expect. I believe the NAM is out to lunch. RGEM is probably the best for us all at this point. Still hoping to see the flakes flying for only the 2nd time this winter. It's tough all over though. LeConte has 1.1 inches this snow season. They normally have recorded around 3 feet by now.
  19. John1122
    That's the kind of game that makes you wonder seriously if the officials are paid off.
  20. John1122
    Our odd quarter offense is like a happy hour NAM run at 60 hours. It goes fast and goes big. I expect two or three big runs from it the GFS from now til early Saturday then we will either see all modeling on board or the collapse into a regular frontal passage.
  21. John1122
    Expecting snow showers/flurries. I'd be overjoyed at this point to even get the inch or so the Canadian suite is advertising.
  22. John1122
    This would be the all time bad snow hole.
  23. John1122
    RGEM is trying. Looks pretty good for the Mid-State down into Miss and N Alabama.
  24. John1122
    The RGem isn't too far off the NAM/GFS either.
  25. John1122
    If it shows that on Friday we could be in business.
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