
John1122
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Everything posted by John1122
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It would be alot easier to stomach the heating bills with a big snow storm but at least there's some snow around out there.
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My forecast had snow but now mrx says freezing rain.
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Can't believe it at this lead, (or really any outside 4 days) but the Euro welcomed in February with a big winter storm for the East half of the area.
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The models keep attempting to have a clipper in the area Friday but it just falls apart as it gets here. These Pacific blocking patterns used to be money for clippers. This year we can't buy one.
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The Can/RGEM are tossing out crazy low temps for Wednesday morning. RGEM has me around -10. The GGEM -6. Euro 4 and GFS 5.
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If you got under one it's pretty impressive. JKL mentioned them in their AFD when they talked about potential snow squall warnings yesterday. They were connected to some Lake Michigan moisture. They were small here. 2 or 3 miles wide at times. Places under them have 3ish inches.
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It's down to flurries here now. I've got about 2.5 inches of fluffy powder. Driving across LaFollette earlier, areas under persistent streamers had 1 to 1.5 inches in swaths about 2 miles wide. Outside of them it was more 1/2 to 3/4ths inch. Don't often see them so narrow like that.
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This is the ground reality of that band down in LaFollette.
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This band is humming. It's actually managed to show up on radar.
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RGEM/Canadian scored this win. This doesn't appear on the radar until it's south of me. Low DGZ activity.
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That's how it looked here when the temp was around 31. Now the flakes here are small.
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Models are trying to drum the late week clipper up into something. It's been showing up with a similar snow footprint to this. 1-2 inches on the Plateau, border N areas, more in Kentucky and the mountains.
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As is usually the case in NW flow events here, the snow starts really coming down about an hour and a half or two before sunset. It's peppering down out there currently. 22 degrees. Around 1.5 inches so far today.
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I'd take a repeat of the 14 incher we got in around Valentine's Day 1985. We even went back below zero a few days later.
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NW flow is rolling along pretty well here. Temp is down to 25 degrees.
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Had an inch, some melting, back to snowing nickels now, 29 degrees.
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Big quarter+ sized flakes rolling, 3/4ths of an inch so far. Looks like it's about to let up, unfortunately. Like Silas, it's snowing harder than it did with the last system.
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It's pretty much ripping here now. Quarters and nickels.
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Dusting here as well. 31 degrees and falling.
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Looks like the CAM are leaning heavily into downsloping SW VA and they are a major player in the NBM inside 24 hours.
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Starting to fall back into the 30s now. Probably the warmest it's going to be until Friday or Saturday.
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It has different weights for different models and different time frames. Basically all ensemble models including the SREF. The major op models. The CAMs/NAM nest.
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My snow didn't melt off in the rain. I've had snow on the ground since Jan 5th. I should manage to make it until at least the 26th or 27th if not longer. Barring a return to some of the modeling looks, this will be the first time in my life with 20+ days of snow on the ground in January that didn't feature double digit snowfall totals, generally 17-24 inches.
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