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weatherwiz

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by weatherwiz

  1. weatherwiz
    Like in forecast discussions or twitter. Only time I see it posted on social media it’s usually done so with a snow map lol
  2. weatherwiz
    I don’t think I’ve ever seen this model referenced. There too many forecast models out there. Maybe resources should be all pooled together and go with a few models instead of 900 different types.
  3. weatherwiz
    WTF is the ICON? ive seen it floated out there the last few years but only in winter...never summer. is it just another model that gets used in winter b/c it has snow maps?
  4. weatherwiz
    There are people on twitter who have a relationship with the kuchera method and snow maps and it’s extremely disturbing. Garbage
  5. weatherwiz
    I really wish they would be eliminated. The code which is utilized to run them should be destroyed and the world needs to be brainwashed by the men in black pen to believe they never existed.
  6. weatherwiz
    Complete night/day between the GFS and NAM...on just about everything. Although what is interesting to note is it looks like on both the GFS/NAM the most favorable location for ulvl divergence is across New England...this would certainly favor a scenario like the GFS I suppose.
  7. weatherwiz
    This is great! Excellent information
  8. weatherwiz
    I guess as long as it remains weak and elongated that would be a good thing? That thing may get shred to pieces if this pattern keeps up lol
  9. weatherwiz
    That's a good point. Hopefully that doesn't happen...sort of can't be discounted either. At 84-hours you have a near 90 knot MLJ streak just getting ready to round the base of the trough...so amplification is certainly going to be occurring...just a matter of how strong.
  10. weatherwiz
    The 12z run looks to slowly delay the push of colder air a bit...which obviously could impact the onset of things. It is nice to see a more amped northern stream though. Doesn't look like any significant changes with southern stream energy.
  11. weatherwiz
    The SPV does look to become weakened and sort of elongated moving towards mid-month. Not surprised really with these crazy strong Rossby Waves which have been occurring.
  12. weatherwiz
    Looks like a pretty big heat flux is set to occur towards the end of the GFS run but positioned over Europe. This site is incredible...only problem is I don't understand how to interpret many of these tools lol. I think the increasing heat flux corresponds to sudden rises in temp
  13. weatherwiz
    Yeah I heard some horrid stories from that..took some people like 4-5 hours to get home...forget that. I think that was the same storm one of the news stations had a car in front of them drilled by some out of control idiot in a pick-up truck.
  14. weatherwiz
    yup that was the date...and you're not wrong on that I think they got slammed even worse even down in northern NJ. I don't think though that setup was anything like this.
  15. weatherwiz
    This sort of reminds me of a scenario we had maybe early last winter or the winter before...I don't remember if the set-up was as similar, but this concept applied and it worked out very well. There was that crazy strip that went through southern CT and caused a commute nightmare.
  16. weatherwiz
    Is MT a thing with the Appalachian Mountains? Anyways I feel pretty good that the Euro is sniffing this out. The theme for the past few weeks (maybe longer) has been for trough amplification along the Great Lakes...perhaps as a response to the low MT/AAM state we've been in? With that trough developing east of the Rockies through the week that should result in more -MT/AAM. November going to be a big winter month
  17. weatherwiz
    yeah I'm not very happy about this. If we have to go through another winter of these horrific outbreaks I'm going to scream. 850 temps around mid-month like -15C WHYYYYYYYYYYYYYY
  18. weatherwiz
    would be a great start to winter...and hopefully signs of an excellent trend for us
  19. weatherwiz
    That's an extremely tight thermal gradient...could help enhance an extremely narrow axis of some pretty heavy snow depending on how this materializes. Maybe room for some low-end warning criteria along a narrow strip.
  20. weatherwiz
    Only goes out to 90 hours
  21. weatherwiz
    With all the snow events which have occurred within the CONUS since the September snows in MT the GFS has gone completely overboard with totals...on a widespread scale. People are going to start freaking out when the GFS is showing 15-20'' of snow at D12...on a weak little wave along a front...then when it doesn't verify all the bust posts get to come out.
  22. weatherwiz
    The GFS is going to be total trash this winter...won't even be worth looking at or posting about. Unfortunately, the GFS is going to cause the social media world to go nuts.
  23. weatherwiz
    The difference in placement of the high pressure between the Euro and GFS for the end of the week is quite significant. I'm sure that has to have an influence on how things evolve in the Thursday-Friday time frame.
  24. weatherwiz
    whoops...I meant to say 21 lol
  25. weatherwiz
    I wish we could do weekends like we used to. I vote for the 23rd.
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