weatherwiz
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Everything posted by weatherwiz
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I think the Euro solution makes the most sense...going to be tough to get accumulating snow here in the Valley but the NW Hills of CT should get hit good and interior New England going to get smoked. 6-10'' jack where the band sets up I don't think is a far stretch. (Actually I could see the valley down here maybe getting a coating to an inch)
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PV induced tornado outbreaks in June!!! PV crashes into an airmass characterized by temps in the 90's, dewpoints in the lower 70's, and lapse rates 8.5 C/KM with strong shear...directional and speed....HIGH RISK!!!!!!
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I mean I agree the odds aren't necessarily great for us, but the NW Hills could get whacked pretty good...even on the NAM they would get into some of the banding and there would be problems there.
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30-50 mi shift SE on this and we get smoked...wouldn't completely write it off yet.
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SW VT on the NY border right under where the fronto is. Somewhere...someone is going to get crushed. Thinking like max zone could be up around 6-9''' of snow...heavy and wet too so that would mean big problems.
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Some spots may struggle to get much above 40 on Saturday...especially if we cloud over really quickly
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There was a distinct exit marker on 91...want to say around exit 37 where the damage went from spotty to just widespread. It was insane.
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yeah from what I heard the snow was incredibly heavy. I'll never forget coming back down from VT the day after the storm. Got to about Springfield on 91 and saw some trees and limbs down along side the highway but got into CT and it was holy ****. Got to Hartford and it was a disaster. I think I took like 100 storm photos from that. Side street near my house was completely covered with leaves and limbs...looked like a tornado went down the street.
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I was in VT for that, however, my boss at the time lived in Windsor and he said things started snapping at like 2''...then after about another inch or two shit started hitting the fan
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ehhh I would think probably even 4'' would start to do so. Back in 2011, just before we had the snow event I remember Denver area getting like 3-5'' of heavy, wet snow and they had widespread power outages and tree damage...I remember this b/c after our event I think it was brought up on here and that should have been an indicator to what would happen here given we were getting double or triple those totals.
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Looks like one of the biggest wild cards with this is the handling of the energy diving through the Plains and moving through the Ohio Valley. But just looking at the ulvl's (and on all models) it seems pretty prime for pretty significant cyclogenesis ...I guess it's just a matter of where this happens but I would wager at least parts of interior New England are going to get hit good and at least the NW Hills of CT.
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social distancing
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Probably looking at 3-4''/HR type rates I would wager
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The NAM is a pretty solid look. Would be a fast but pretty significant thump of heavy, wet snow. I can't get a hold of how cold it is aloft. There is going to be one helluva band
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NW hills of CT...that is some pretty heavy snow...probably thundersnow too.
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This look just has the making of something. It really might be hard to escape without something historic happening.
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Heavy snow
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I wish the NAM would hurry up. I'm exhausted...way past my bed time
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a snowless winter
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wouldn't rule it out
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The Berks could really get nailed with this. Let's say even if the 18z Euro panned out...I think the Euro would get crushed. There would be a pretty significant band as frontogenesis would probably be off the charts.
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When the pattern flips...we're getting a big severe threat. That I promise. The configuration is going to be prime for it...we either will see EML advection or a NW flow type setup...though often times NW flow does come with steeper lapse rates though not precisely associated with an EML
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Looks like interior ME gets crushed on the Euro
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well there wasn't much to get excited about this winter lol. I was super excited during December though
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LEt's go!
