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weatherwiz

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by weatherwiz

  1. We've been above-average since mid-May...obviously driven moreso by warm mins, but even high's have been above-average. While we certainly have had some cool days this just goes to show that when we've had these cool days they really aren't far off from climo, but when we have the warmer days we're a good several-degrees or so above climo.
  2. Historically, most of our HHH periods come closer to mid-July. Like dendrite said, we've had some hot days...and of those few they were quite hot. It's still relatively early for such prolonged periods. Even what's happening across the Missouri Valley east to the mid-Atlantic coast is a bit early...not totally uncommon but it's quite the prolonged stretch
  3. The 8th TriState Weather Conference hosted by Western Connecticut State University will be held Saturday, October 15, 2022 at Western Connecticut's Midtown Campus in Danbury, CT from 8:00 AM - 5:00 PM! Registration is $35. For those who has never been it's a very fun time. There have been some great presentations in the past. It was also an honor to be involved in the preparation process one time as a student. Additional information can be found on the link below: https://www.wcsu.edu/weatherconference/
  4. In all seriousness...it's only mid-June lol. Probably up until recently (as in the past decade) have we ever really entered more consistent stretches of heat and humidity...and I'll define that as temperatures ~85 or greater with dewpoints > 65. Obviously these thresholds need to be adjusted for location (proximity to water, elevation, latitude). It really used to be like first few weeks of July for the big heat and then we would really crank dewpoints (>70) more like later part of July and August.
  5. Did the observer at ORD take cover????? Waiting for a METAR update
  6. Maybe we can get some solid elevated convection Thursday night.
  7. I was getting all tingly looking at mesoanalysis in the OV but now I'm depressed
  8. Forecast supercell composite parameter later Too bad they capped
  9. KCVG dewpoint hit 80! Wish we could get that
  10. 191-days until cutter and rain season returns
  11. unfortunately no fun for us with this one and looks like we get screwed with timing at the end of the week. sigh
  12. That's about where I was thinking the northern fringe of the complex would track but some of the models indicate this could become a pretty large complex so maybe the northern fringe does get farther north like the NAM shows.
  13. The NAM/GFS are awfully far north with that MCS/"derecho" for tonight/tomorrow. Although the GFS seems more realistic with where it should actually track.
  14. We can only hope. I've been trying really hard not to get too excited for anything 5+ (sometimes even 3+) days the past few years (including winter). But it's nice to see this potential still on the table from a few days ago. Going to be lots to iron out with how things evolve.
  15. I did see that movie when I was super young…I think that’s what started my spider fear and speaking of spiders is this one of those ones that are supposed to fall from the sky???
  16. My uncle used to see them when he lived at a stable when taking care of horses. This is a huge part of climate change that nobody talks about…big massive spiders starting to populate the north b/c the climate is becoming conducive for them. Pretty soon wolf spiders will dominate and we’ll be seeing brown recluses everywhere along with black widows and the Australian massive spider guy. This really isn’t a good situation
  17. I don’t think we can fully enjoy summer until we get into constant 85-90+ with dews > 70
  18. GFS has a fairly good looking severe threat next Friday!!!!! WHY DOES IT HAVE TO BE A WEEK OUT??? It probably will become more poopy as we move through the week....ughhhh this is a pathetic summer for convection...absolute crap. Can't get anything solid....nothing good...not even any decent setups.
  19. I don't think you could draw a more perfect hodograph...maybe just slightly strengthen the shear more between each major level.
  20. This breeze is PISSING me off. Trying to play cards outside and the breeze be blowing them away
  21. I think that is a very underrated correlation to DJF NAO. I remember back when I used to really dig into long-range looking at that correlation and it seemed rather striking.
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