weatherwiz

I totally agree that there certainly is still some decent cold bottled up there in southeast Canada with some cold 850's, however, it's been that way through much of the winter. I'm not really using persistence at all with my thoughts or forecast...(well perhaps that's a lie) but in order for us I think to utilize that we're going to need to see some drastic pattern change...something much more than just a "relaxation" in the flow. Also, that cold can easily be eroded in the coming weeks. I guess you can argue that by saying this warm look can easily erode too but IMO everything points/signals towards the warmth dominating and by everything I mean global teleconnections. I know they begin to lose their correlation as we move into spring, but at least through the end of model guidance some of those signals remain strong and continue to drive the hemispheric configuration.

I think that possibility will arise after mid-month. After the warm-up to begin next week we cool down a bit but the pattern that develops after that could be quite warm. Maybe even factor some air mass trajectory from the southwest.

I still think March is going to be quite warm. Constant theme seems to be for significant ridging to develop across the central Pacific (would love to be able to see AAM/EAMT plots) with wave breaking across the eastern Pacific resulting in the troughs which dig into the west. Unfortunately, with the southeast ridge looking to be quite strong these troughs will quickly become muted as they progress east or they begin to de-amplify and lift to our northwest. I suspect we'll see some days where we get 75-80 in the near future. Time to get all lotioned up and stand outside like a scarecrow. Best way to get an even tan

Didn't they have a crazy macroburst a few years back?

Nothing better than starting the week off with some excellent COC It's a shame the winter had to blow chunks...especially after how December started but it's onto spring/summer. Playoff hockey/basketball and baseball!!!!

COC for all on Monday

legalize marijuana and sports betting and this state will bring in some money (which still probably wouldn't be allocated properly)

I actually have a quite a bit of interest in tracking them too. I know it's not very exciting but forecasting temperatures in the spring (especially around here) requires a bit of skill at times and it's not very easy. I think one of the most interesting drivers is soil moisture/leafing out and the influences they can have.

Monday could be a legit top 10 day. Keep flow more WSW and we could see mid-to-upper 60's.

we should all pool money and rent a hotel at the H5 inn

I think I looked into this before but there seems to be a correlation to Bruins Stanley Cup appearances and above-average severe season in the Northeast

Trust me...wish I could lol. Before I started driving and I would walk everywhere I HATED this time of year. the wind would add like 10 minutes to my walks b/c I could barely move if I was walking into the wind

I think all of that has finally drained from my blood lol. I can barely drink a single beer anymore. I'll drink one during a Bruins game and most times don't even finish it lol

I'm actually a Red Sox and bleed black and yellow...and green

Gust was 10 mph

Almost got blown over walking to gas station...nuts

Noooooo please for the sake of my eyes don’t

Love it

H5 on the 12z NAM looks like a bowling ball of poop

or scare them away by posting graphics which aren't model snow maps

They're probably coming here to steal information and bring it back to their forums to enhance their forecasting.

Wouldn't be a bad setup for us...been a while since we had a really food ring-of-fire setup. Or perhaps we can get some cold pool aloft setups like 2008. But speaking of 2008 I feel like a pattern like that is exceptionally difficult to obtain, especially for a long-duration. We legit had severe wx like every day in June and July lol. We do get cold pool setups every summer but that summer was insane.

Deleted previous post...I had Monday's 6z GFS run up. Anyways, still the signal for IVT so couldn't rule out some minor accumulation back this way Friday night.

With my luck a 594-dm ridge is going to park from TX to SD mid-May and persist through July