weatherwiz
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Everything posted by weatherwiz
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I wish this stupid line of showers would get through Hartford so I can go
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It's been a nightmare really trying to determine this. Models have been all over the place. My initial thinking is eastern PA/N NJ/SE NY and maybe into SW CT. Seems like this area has been chance to get big CAPE and shear still seems sufficient
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Not sure what time to drive to Hartford...stuff by Torrington seems to be moving more east than southeast.
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I can feel it in my bones...all these cute little convective events these past few weeks is just a precursor for something BIGGER to come. Maybe late July maybe August. It's like little tremors before a giant earthquake or before a massive volcanic eruption.
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There will be that triple point nearby...sometimes I think you see some on social media "hype up" the triple point or incorrectly assess as a triple point but this is an actual triple point. With theta-e values ~350K and PWATS ~2K there is going to be some ample llvl instability so any updraft that can become mature certainly will have lots to utilize.
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Out by the Cape?
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EML watch
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Heat stroke?
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Mid-level forcing is a little meh with the s/w energy still well into SE Canada...but pretty evident pressure trough across the region with some enhanced llvl convergence. I would think mesos underdoing convective coverage today
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I think mesos are underplaying convection today. Should I post this here or in severe thread? who cares
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May see some nasty wind producers in SE PA/NJ tomorrow.
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I'm going to the Yard Goats game tomorrow...hopefully a nice storm blows through there
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Yeah I think we'll see a decent line move across parts of MA/CT with vivid lightning and threat for localized damaging winds
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AHHHHHHHHHHHHH
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At it's origins waiting to be advected this way I don't have the energy I used too
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Getting a nice light show in bed with thunder while I watch Shameless. Abound have gone to airport but I’m exhausted.
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hmmm increase in lightning out west. might head to BDL. Only a 3 minute drive so why not.
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When I woke up during the night (b/c all I do is wake up every couple hours) I checked the radar and I saw the storm passing north of BDL and then the one just south of Hartford...was pretty impressed with the lightning. I was hoping this stuff would have some decent lightning and I'd take a trip to the airport and watch but doesn't look like much. TOns of rain though
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severe or bust
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If there is a decent amount of lightning I'll make the trip
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A trip to BDL may be in the making
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On a walk and it’s amazingly hot and humid. All drenched in sweat. This is what summer is about. Everything is dripping but my hair. This is a much better wet than the wet from yesterday
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Serious BD or whatever you want to call it potential a good part of next week
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At least we'll get some awesome sunsets once that NW flow becomes established aloft over the next few weeks and we transport wildfire smoke. Hopefully we can sneak an EML in or at least get a sfc depiction where we get these very high dews/severe threats
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Shear solid...instability pretty good...forcing/lift not so good
