weatherwiz

Probably looking at 3-4''/HR type rates I would wager

The NAM is a pretty solid look. Would be a fast but pretty significant thump of heavy, wet snow. I can't get a hold of how cold it is aloft. There is going to be one helluva band

NW hills of CT...that is some pretty heavy snow...probably thundersnow too.

This look just has the making of something. It really might be hard to escape without something historic happening.

Heavy snow

I wish the NAM would hurry up. I'm exhausted...way past my bed time

a snowless winter

wouldn't rule it out

The Berks could really get nailed with this. Let's say even if the 18z Euro panned out...I think the Euro would get crushed. There would be a pretty significant band as frontogenesis would probably be off the charts.

When the pattern flips...we're getting a big severe threat. That I promise. The configuration is going to be prime for it...we either will see EML advection or a NW flow type setup...though often times NW flow does come with steeper lapse rates though not precisely associated with an EML

Looks like interior ME gets crushed on the Euro

well there wasn't much to get excited about this winter lol. I was super excited during December though

LEt's go!

anyone know how to actually post this to like Facebook or instagram with the animation? When uploading and posted it’s just a still shot.

This is insane to say but it's not like we don't have the llvl airmass needed in place ahead of the storm b/c we kinda do...850's are quite cold for May and only get colder as dynamic cooling really takes over...and this then yields cooling at 925.

That would be one helluva band. Rates would be insane

If the Euro is onto this idea...oh boy.

epic for May standards I meant lol...would be several inches of heavy, wet snow in the hardest hit areas. Luckily we're not fully leaved but this would def lead to widespread power outages.

northern CT Friday night...holy shit

Holy crap...the GFS is an epic snowstorm...very damaging

I picture it now "Severe snow squall warning has been issued until [ ]. In addition to extremely heavy snow leading to near-zero visibility, large hail up to the size of quarters is possible along with damaging wind gusts in excess of 60 mph".

Maybe we can even muster up some cold air funnels

Thread is up for Saturday's fun!!!

An extremely anomalous set-up is projected for Saturday, May 9, 2020 as forecast models are in strong agreement in a piece of the PV breaking off and digging into New England resulting in likely record breaking 500mb heights which a tropopause level that's perhaps as low as 450-475mb! 500mb temperatures are forecast to as low as -35C to -40C which is unprecedented for the month of May. This will contribute to 700-500mb lapse rates which may exceed 8 C/KM. This coupled with sfc temperatures into the 40's and dewpoints in the 30's will be enough to generate some modest instability with ~500 J/KG of MLCAPE. What are we looking at? With any sun, this will further destabilize the atmosphere and this will result in numerous showers, snow showers (perhaps even snow squalls!!), grauple, and hail across the region. Snow accumulations will be possible in the higher elevations and there could even be grauple/hail accumulations as well as intensity of precipitation should be on the heavier side. Expect thunder and lightning too along with strong, gusty winds.

seems very likely. This threat looks fun enough to start a thread for it!!! One thread coming on up