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weatherwiz

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Everything posted by weatherwiz

  1. weatherwiz
    Looks like just a really narrow corridor for severe potential should a line materialize. DCAPE is pretty good within the area of the MCD but it's not like llvl flow is very strong and llvl lapse rates are quite poor (though should steepen locally where stronger heating occurs).
  2. weatherwiz
    Yeah clouds may really kill things up that way...much better down this way in terms of the cloud department but really not much for convection down here. Better instability will be displaced from the better dynamics/forcing.
  3. weatherwiz
    It also appear all the best ingredients become a bit displaced as the day goes on. The best (llvl shear) moves out through the early afternoon and the best ulvl dynamics remain well west while the sfc cold front looks to plug east. Convective coverage too may be a bit of a question. I think we'll see some significant localized severe but would it be enough to warrant or "verify" an enhanced?
  4. weatherwiz
    Certainly can't rule out severe storms nearing Boston...highly dependent on where/when any discrete cells form west and whether they try and evolve into a small line segment and push towards BOS
  5. weatherwiz
    I am not. Quite the complex setup today. Best chance for any severe probably with any discrete cells which form across NNE. Not sure we see much from a convective line...looks like the sfc front may undercut convection.
  6. weatherwiz
    I was wondering how that worked. I was stunned when I didn't even get charged for labor. I saw no charge and I said, "not even for labor" and the guy said, "It's a Honda problem so they have to deal with it". Glad to know they get reimbursed...I was worried about them just doing this work and not getting anything for it
  7. weatherwiz
    Have a recall on something in my car and it's getting replaced (for free) today. Never really done that before...do you like tip them at all?
  8. weatherwiz
    The 90's seemed to offer quite a bit in terms of squall lines...squall lines which could approach the CT River and then POOF weaken in the blink of an eye...this would disappoint time and time again. I just remember watching the radar on TWC and it seemed several times each summer we would get these massive squall lines from like Maine down through Maryland that would just slide east.
  9. weatherwiz
    yeah looks more fun to our west (shocker)
  10. weatherwiz
    Well at least we got a few severe reports out of it. And FWIW, I did have a dream we saw widespread severe weather...and if you believe the idea that our dreams are just us in a parallel world or life...so technically in a parallel universe we all live in...we did get severe weather...it's just our other selves got to experience it
  11. weatherwiz
    Might be some weakening as it heads east but I don’t think there should be much. Timing should be second half of overnight
  12. weatherwiz
    I’m thinking around or just south of MA Pike into extreme northern CT…right along the instability gradient. Also matches up where nose of MLJ punches through.
  13. weatherwiz
    Looks like we will see a pretty intense cluster propagate across portions of the region tonight. Probably be a very concentrated but perhaps widespread area (in terms of length) of wind damage with hail.
  14. weatherwiz
    Hmm thought the posts I made for tonight were in this thread.
  15. weatherwiz
    Key is where instability gradient sets-up. These things like to ride that. FWIW, often times models too far aggressive with how far north that gets...
  16. weatherwiz
    Pretty impressive looking setup here. Connecticut looks to be in a prime spot actually being on the northern fringe of the EML should help in the essence the EML will provide a cap, however, cap shouldn't be too strong to inhibit development. Despite this occurring overnight, strong surge of theta-e air and extremely impressive jet dynamics should compensate...plus EML and high theta-e air will keep solid instability. This could be big...
  17. weatherwiz
    I still want to learn Python (and become a Python master) I've thought about seeking out whether there are any online courses solely designed for teaching Python (geared towards meteorology).
  18. weatherwiz
    forget the models...nowcast and mesoanalysis lol
  19. weatherwiz
    woah tornado warning overnight in NE CT.
  20. weatherwiz
    Really no change in thoughts. Should see a line of thunderstorms continue to the coast through the overnight with localized damaging wind gusts within the line. Will see some localized flash flooding.
  21. weatherwiz
    That's still an absurd title
  22. weatherwiz
    That's totally absurd. This is not even remotely close to entertainment. If news media is really deemed that then someone out there...or a group of people need to starting working on correcting that. If social media outlets (such as Facebook and Twitter) are "blocking" posts which provide misinformation which is being posted around then the same should be done for news outlets.
  23. weatherwiz
    How is it even legal for crap like that to be published? The author of the article should be fired and whoever is responsible for allowing that to be published should be fired.
  24. weatherwiz
    The severe threat is still there. Very strong dynamics with this system...don't need alot of instability. Actually remains fairly unstable well into the overnight too. Should see damaging wind potential hold through eastern Mass.
  25. weatherwiz
    May see some nasty localized flash flooding tomorrow night ughhh
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