weatherwiz
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Everything posted by weatherwiz
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May 8-9 mid-spring rain, snow, cold, wind obs
weatherwiz replied to CT Valley Snowman's topic in New England
Are there any PNS statements or snow total maps? Didn’t see anything on NWS pages. -
Happy birthday @CoastalWx @RUNNAWAYICEBERG
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yup...that's a pretty significant amount of CAPE for this type of setup. I'm surprised SPC doesn't have a general thunderstorm risk out
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yeah tomorrow is going to be nuts...strong gusty winds, cold, snow squalls with grauple!!!!
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Well after this we can finally turn our attention to severe wx season. It's coming!!!!!
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It was fun while it lasted Yeah Saturday afternoon it going to be winter-like...cold temperatures, gusty winds, squalls...it's going to be a pretty crazy day
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Well this weekend was cute but after this it's back to reality...should be tracking severe wx...like a snow event would be super fun but it's severe weather season damn it
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At least Saturday afternoon is still in the cards...going to be numerous squalls with grauple and strong winds. Going to feel like December out there
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GFS holding it's own regarding getting the CCB going
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Doesn't seem like the NAM wants to phase...if it were to phase it would probably be a solid hit. So I guess we just have to decipher what the odds of a phase are and if there is a phase how quickly does it happen?
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my map was predominately NW Hills and NE Hills for any meaningful accumulations (4-6'' up in northern Litchfield County) then a strip of 2-4'' across larger part of that county and then up your way
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yeah let's not overlook Saturday afternoon...which was actually the original purpose of the thread before the snow threat evolved Too be honest more people could see some sort of frozen throughout the day Saturday then Friday night.
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https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/srefplumes/
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Euro cranks that CCB in ME...wow
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This is some pretty crazy mixing for around here
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Even better!!! Can't overlook Saturday afternoon either
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That's what my initial look was...it wasn't phasing as much.
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This is pretty nuts...decent clustering between 0-1'', however, also several members going wild!!
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maybe that's why the NAM isn't as wrapped up with this?
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This was the 6z GFS...can't wait for 12z but also look at early Saturday afternoon...definite signal for either snow squalls or like grauple/hail showers mixed with snow...hahahaha
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Looks like GFS is much stronger with the energy diving in from the OV then the NAM is...maybe even a little lagged on the NAM so it just misses blowing it up more
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This would be wild. I still like the support for what the GFS/Euro suggest in terms of the CCB strength. There is going to be some pretty strong frontogenesis and jet dynamics support a great deal of upper-level dynamics so I think we should really see the sfc low strengthen.
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I think there's quite a bit which favors this being the more likely scenario.
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Gotcha...makes sense. I am fine with the NW Hills but certainly could be too high towards the Northeast part of the state. I am thinking this system ends up on the stronger side but just not all that certain on exact track. Slight wobbles would mean a big difference in some spots.
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the 4-6'' area I had in NW CT?
