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weatherwiz

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by weatherwiz

  1. weatherwiz
    Zero clue what you're talking about or even getting at. Enjoy Africa
  2. weatherwiz
    maybe even a chance I can do my little walk during lunch! maybe a little break coming...although I might get blown into LIS given these gusts.
  3. weatherwiz
    Convective is mesoscale snowfall is synoptic scale...of course snowfall is going to be better.
  4. weatherwiz
    I guess it's a good thing there isn't going to be any convection involved. I'm also curious to see how the precipitation shield unfolds as we move through the evening. The initial look screams just a slug of torrential rain region wide being on the NW side of the low with extreme dynamics. However, given the pressure falls you may see precipitation become much more banded and this introduces the development of subsidence zones so there could be some discrepancies in precip across short distances.
  5. weatherwiz
    12 NAM has a LLJ max at 850 of 90+ knots into eastern MA 3z tonight...that's nuts
  6. weatherwiz
    HRRR continues to really pound the Cape. Could see gusts 80+ on outer parts
  7. weatherwiz
    SSS? Is that magnetic south?
  8. weatherwiz
    Nice core of wind moving north
  9. weatherwiz
    was just about to post that
  10. weatherwiz
    In reality. I hate the "if this were winter" or "if this were a winter storm" comparisons anyways.
  11. weatherwiz
    yeah pretty gusty here in Branford...was not expecting this now either.
  12. weatherwiz
    yes actually.
  13. weatherwiz
    agreed on all accounts.
  14. weatherwiz
    If it was winter this would be tracking up the Hudson
  15. weatherwiz
    hmmm http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cyclonephase/gfs/fcst/archive/21102606/36.phase1.zoom.png
  16. weatherwiz
    Beautiful...wish this could stick around another few months
  17. weatherwiz
    Warm here in Branford and even a bit on the sticky side.
  18. weatherwiz
    there is going to be a narrow axis (like a deform band) that sets up somewhere...probably from Cape Cod through RI into E CT. That llv is going to throw back some ample moisture into this system. Wouldn't be surprised to see an axis of like 5-7''.
  19. weatherwiz
    Gotcha. lots to iron out though in the next 24-hours with some of the details. Certainly going to be strong winds...just a question of how much of the region gets into them.
  20. weatherwiz
    Maybe some waterspouts off Cape Cod?
  21. weatherwiz
    with the euro wind fix or the wind threat in general? Uncertain about the state as a whole but coast/eastern sections looks a bit more concerning.
  22. weatherwiz
    Agreed...shoreline has the greatest likelihood for widespread power outages. Inland...a bit of a tougher call. 40-50 mph wind gusts are certainly on the common side around here in the fall/winter...but given the state of the trees plus all the rain coming it makes for a bit more in the way of uneasiness.
  23. weatherwiz
    We'll most certainly have a stout inversion in place which will help limit winds but we should also see some CAA moving through the evening which should erode the inversion a bit but given how we're looking at mostly synoptically driven winds this may not matter much (outside of mixing down stronger winds)...but winds off the deck are pretty wild. I would think 40-50 mph gusts inland are a good be with gusts 55-70 along the coast.
  24. weatherwiz
    they did? About time. There are still some uncertainties with several pieces, however, even with the uncertainties the confidence I think for a pretty impressive wind event and power outages may be on the high side...I guess just a matter of how much of the region but that's tied into the uncertainties with track/placement
  25. weatherwiz
    Holy crap...HRRR gone wild for sure. Does have some support from the 3km NAM too. That's a pretty extensive area of synoptic wind. Certainly can't be discounted when you consider the potential for a sub 990 low with a ~1028 HP to the north
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