weatherwiz

These type of events are like the equivalent of scattered snow showers in winter. I do appreciate these type of setups (though that's a poor word choice here...not really a setup but more of a output of heat/humidity combo with mesoscale forcing's) b/c while very isolated these t'storms can pack a punch locally and spit out a ton of CG's. But I just am looking for one nice widespread setup...late spring/early summer we should have nice really solid severe setups then we transition to the HHH t'storms.

the lack of big CAPE on the GFS is really stressing me out. I almost want to make a photoshop of big CAPE over us to make me feel better

I've at least been able to see some CB's the past few days.

When the jet stream is shifted so far north they have great dynamics. Also they can get pretty hot temperatures. Dewpoints I’m not certain about but my guess is they can still get solid moisture return...that or maybe the elevation is super high (despite being flat land) so even dewpoints in like the 40’s or 50’s suffice as quality moisture (same concept as in like the Rocky Mountain region...though I must say I completely forget why they can do so well with severe with dews so low). I also think they get plenty of EML air so that yields big CAPE...add that with excellent shear and boom

I’m pretty sure like south-central Canada gets quite a bit of tornadoes...maybe even as far as as towards Montreal. Just go unreported perhaps

Typically closer to the jet stream so better dynamics and probably also get decent lapse rates

I’m curious to know if the Earth’s albedo has changed over the past say even 10 years or so. If I remember correctly the Earths average albedo is like 0.27 or 0.30? But naturally with ice caps melting and diminishing the earths albedo has to change somewhat and more radiation is going to get absorbed over time. i also wonder if there has been any major changes to the Earths energy budget.

These record warm Arctic temps continue to be extremely concerning. At least to me anyways...some are more meh about it. But it’s not normal and it significantly influences global weather and climate...whether people want to believe it or not.

This is starting to get god damn ridiculous. Worst fooking summer ever. Not a single good threat on the horizon. Just fake bullshit. Stupid shitty big SBCAPE numbers which people get off on with shitty lapse rates and shear.

best chance of seeing a shower is going into your bathroom

This is so fooking stupid. Everything gets shunted southwest b/c we're nothing but crap here. I'll also be in NH at Hampton Beach during this time on vacation but still...this is fooking bullshit. Even scrolling through...nothing makes it here..just gets deflected to the southwest like there is a stupid bubble over us. The models are now into July...that's virtually towards the end of peak severe season. It's over...freaking over and we got crap to show for it. Screw you summer 2020

They have had a lot of tough luck with clouds and being close to the cut offs Think we’re a bit too close. But certainly something to watch b/c slight changes in the orientation of the pattern could mean getting slapped in the face with the D’s

Very legal and the more people involved the more fun

yeah it is a bit intriguing...best we have for sure Seems to have an open wave look and those can yield some fun setups. I would even kill to see those right now

Can't wait...finally get to have TP stuck to the fanny and waking up in the AM with sheets plastered all over the body and as you peel them off your bare skin the tingling sensation slowly trickles from your head, down your spine, and into your legs.

At least Saturday will feature pulse t'storms which don't move anywhere. PWATS between 1.50'' and 2.00'' too so actually could be some flash flooding possible...although it has been quite dry.

I think part of it too has to do with maybe expectations or just forgetting what the average high temperature is for much of June. I'm guessing early June the average high probably ranges anywhere from upper 60's to maybe lower 70's and then by mid-June mid 70's to lower 80's. Sure it's not uncommon at all to get days or stretches of mid-to-upper 80's with maybe some lower 90's in the typical hot spot locations, but when comparing to average mid-to-upper 80's in June is considered very warm to hot depending on where you are.

Guessing a situation where it's due to high's running a bit above-average as opposed to above-average lows?

I would be excited for the prospects this winter and next spring (attempt #2 at going out west) with what could be a La Nina but honestly with climate change and other factors ENSO just doesn't seem to hold the weight it once did (with exception of a strong event)...that or perhaps with just a growing data set correlations that were once thought to be correlations just aren't as strong anymore.

yup...and convection in general. I mean I've had crap...CRAP. There was that one day though in late spring where I had hail on 2-3 different occasions but this is ridiculous. I was so pumped about going to OK at the end of the May but obviously with everything going on we didn't...which worked out b/c the season has been crap there too. There have been a few good events in the Northeast though...the PA derecho and the stupid CT enhanced risk in which the biggest severe threat was north and west of here and that's exactly what happened...yet we had an enhanced here AND a tornado watch...stupid. But there's nothing...nothing to look forward to, nothing exciting. Second half of summer can be fun but it's usually nocturnal events...I don't care for those that much...you can't see cloud features and I don't have the energy to stay up all night anymore for them. Our weather patterns have been nothing short of fooked. It's tiring and it needs to stop.

My head is about to explode...I am getting more and more upset everyday. Very tough not to melt

It's on Netflix? Sick

This summer is stupid...absolutely ridiculous. Just no good CAPE in sight or no good anything...just pure 100% trash. I suppose perhaps around next Wednesday could be something...looks like perhaps an open wave which usually comes with good shear and even directional shear but we'll probably get screwed by poor timing. Lapse rates would probably be garbage anyways. I guess all we can hope for is a massive heat ridge to build in the center of the country and we can get some ridge roller potential...actually this looks to happen but we get screwed and the mid-Atlantic gets whacked. This has been complete bullshit. There was that one really good event into MA...the one where we had that ridiculous enhanced risk into CT...and then saw an extension of a tornado watch into CT which was completely unwarranted and not necessary. Enhanced risk for that crap AND a tornado watch...really????

Looks like the pattern is setting up for some big time MCS action/derecho potential across the mid-Atlantic. Oh joy

I might have a meltdown soon. This is fooking ridiculous. Haven't gone chasing ANYWHERE.