weatherwiz
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Everything posted by weatherwiz
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I wonder if BDL can pull off a sneaky 3-day heat wave...Sunday could get close to 90. Looks like another round of ~90 possible late next week.
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It does look like there should be at least increasing potential for precipitation up this way moving into the upcoming few weeks. Looks like lots going on down in the deep south and Gulf of Mexico (not necessarily tropical but developing lows along stalled or slowly propagating fronts). Hopefully we can establish a more SW flow in the mid-upper levels.
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drought lol
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They can steal our rain but they can't steal our snow.
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Could be looking at some big heat to kick off September. Naked Labor Day Parties?
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Based on what’s being projected with the potential it seems like it could be visible even south of CT.
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I am really hoping we can get a good show tomorrow night. Sounds like the potential is there. I saw the northern lights once and it was stunning.
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will dead trees be easier to take down if we get a fall derecho?
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when I first started reading this I thought you were going to say it was moved indoors to the ripe smell of pot
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You would think so but it really isn't. Although I think it tends to do better when there is a well-defined lifting mechanism (like a cold front or pre-frontal trough) and larger-scale lift. But days in which convection is of the pop-up variety it's not very good. But given how small of a scale we're dealing with regarding the pop-up stuff, even the HRRR I don't think is high enough resolution to sniff out those processes.
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I wonder if we see a Colin 2.0 off the Carolina coast at the end of the week
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Sometimes I wonder if there are too many forecast products available on the models. If it wasn't for QPF charts or snowfall maps how many storms would get "hyped" up?
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Kinda hoping for some severe threats next week Being tickled by some stronger bulk shear but we'll need more than a tickle
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Not sold on any long duration event with this given how quickly occlusion is likely to happen.
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Ryan even said on Friday there was synoptic support
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Is that Kevin tapping out?
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There's some synoptic support
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The HRRR has been pretty steadfast. That's gotta at least count for something
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Especially if GFS is correct. Not very often you see NAM MOS > GFS MOS with temps. While I'm a big fan of NBM for temps I think tomorrow is a prime example of when it should be tossed.
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Does BOS even crack 70 tomorrow?
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I'm just going to blindfold myself tomorrow, walk outside, and stick my tongue out. If I feel drops it's raining, if not, it's not.
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12z GFS bufkit for CHH
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Despite how tilted the structure is early on looks like it tries to become vertically stacked and occlude rather quickly. Something to watch too when taking into account max rain totals.
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Just had something pass overhead too in Springfield not long ago. Sounded rather low.
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This system is very tilted with height. So there is room for some significant strengthening. But look at this upper-level look. I don't think some of the hi-res can be discounted. At this point, even being so close in, I don't think any solution can be discounted. There is no hardcore evidence of any one solution having more merit than another. There has been some ensemble support to.
