weatherwiz
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Everything posted by weatherwiz
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post total QPF when it goes out far enough!!!!!! -
ughhhh that's brutal. thanks for posting these though...very helpful. based on the H7 we're getting big goods into at least central CT
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does stormvista have 700 fronto?
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Red Sox thread one year was >1000 pages
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same. confluence at least looks not as pronounced as the NAM and both streams look good too ...so far
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These are my favorite maps to look at
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Left em in the dust with no bus to go back and pick them up
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I am hardcore praying the GFS is west...even if it's just a smidgity-poo west.
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looks extremely similar to my map
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It makes it worse that there really is no middle ground (at least back this way) it's either very low end or a total crush job.
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The NAM seems to be locking in
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That is one heck of an unstable layer. You may have to issue SVR's with heavy snow
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This band may end up sitting and pivoting. If that happens...oh my lord. oh lord
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THEY END UP CONSOLIDATING OH MY GOD!!!!! CRUSHER FOR CONNECTICUT!!!! May have to pull out a 30-36'' contour somewhere OMGGG
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The dual band look comes back. This is a pounding for Connecticut
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I'd maybe start getting concerned 12z tomorrow if we're continuing to see some of what we're seeing. There's just so much time (even though it doesn't feel like it) really. Hopefully the 0z balloon launches will provide significant value...we can at least see how models are initializing heights in the West. This doesn't help with everything but gives a small idea.
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Given how subtle the differences are of capture vs. late capture or no capture...we seriously may have too. I just don't think we're going to get any consistency or agreement on this until it either happens or doesn't
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gotta watch that confluence here...
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That's very true. I wonder if we'd be better off having an airmass that wasn't as cold. given how cold it is aloft and the type of dendrites we'll likely produce, I would think this can make them more susceptible to being ripped apart. IIRC correctly, I think ratios in 2013 and 2015 under the band were like around 15:1 or so right?
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We never touched upon this in any classes but when taking wind into account for it's impact on ratios is it surface winds, winds aloft, a combination of both and then I guess what would you subtract off in terms of ratios for wind? This is something I have zero knowledge on.
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may have to make some slight adjustments to it...the west cutoff is going to be extremely sharp. but this is playing out how I was envisioning so can only hope that continues lol.
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AHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH
