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weatherwiz

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by weatherwiz

  1. weatherwiz
    Nice CG explosion around me. Boom baby boom
  2. weatherwiz
    Decent storm here. Some close strikes and loud thunder. Roads were already pounding. Drove back through from water on way back from cvs.
  3. weatherwiz
    missed that post! I think we saw something similar with the storm that came up a few years back. Ended up making landfall somewhere along Long Island. I remember there were some aggressive calls (from myself included) for stronger winds and even a LF hurricane, but it was clear the slower speed over the colder waters was going to yield big weakening and structural changes
  4. weatherwiz
    Whether people want them to happen or not is irrelevant because if it's going to happen it's going to happen...plain and simple. But for those who work in the field or follow this stuff for a passion, all you want to is prepare folks the best you can and stress life is more important than anything else.
  5. weatherwiz
    Euro continuing with the tug back NW...now just a matter of how far it goes with it
  6. weatherwiz
    The additional balloon launches make a bunch of sense. I mean there is an overall greater concern to this storm than just the backyards of New England.
  7. weatherwiz
    Well if anything I guess what's becoming clearer is Lee will slow enough for the first front/trough not to capture it and kick it enough OTS to say there will be zero impact.
  8. weatherwiz
    Excellent opening post. Cue the media hype now as the cone of uncertainty is now tickling parts of the region. NHC has Lee as a category 1 (80 mph) Saturday AM
  9. weatherwiz
    Lee would largely miss those warmer waters (assuming anyways). Historically, to get a significant cane to make landfall up here you need it to be hauling as it would have less time to weaken between being off the Carolina coast and a landfall up here. A slower moving storm traversing these colder waters though will give the storm ample time to undergo internal structural changes and evolution from tropical to ET
  10. weatherwiz
    Yes, great post. It's important to understand this in great depth.
  11. weatherwiz
    You shouldn't have done it
  12. weatherwiz
    I think Kevin already did that when he made comparisons to '38
  13. weatherwiz
    This is exactly what I was getting at with that post I made a few weeks back about colder waters. A slow moving storm is going to weaken and transition pretty quickly.
  14. weatherwiz
    This can't be ignored, but let's see we got TS wind gusts across a large part of the region as a result of an expanded wind field. Given the very saturated grounds and fully leaved trees power outages would be a greater concern than usual for winds that we usually see several times in the late fall/winter.
  15. weatherwiz
    You'll probably see that happen before you see the Mets win
  16. weatherwiz
    There is also the possibility the next Near Earth Object actually hits the Earth
  17. weatherwiz
    Based on that upper-level evolution, I don't think I'd constitute this as a west trend.
  18. weatherwiz
    Alright GFS
  19. weatherwiz
    eh I just don't think it's enough. IMO you want to see several members well west. We're starting to get into the range where the models aren't going to be too far off from the synoptic evolution. I do think there is a chance portions of Maine could see some rain and gusty winds but that's pretty much it. The wave off Africa which the GFS slams us with down the road may have better potential given its starting off much farther south.
  20. weatherwiz
    This isn't a situation where you just want to see slight ticks west...you really want to see a significant jump east. And by significant I mean more than just an OP run or a few ens members. There is substantial work to get such a significant jump. The window certainly isn't closed, but its just about fully shut.
  21. weatherwiz
    wild rain currently
  22. weatherwiz
    I was just doing something similar with TT switching browsers between 12z/6z. I hate how the sizing changes though. I wish the domain would remain fixed it would be much easier to visualize. Anyways there certainly has been some slight ticks west, but the mean is still very far east.
  23. weatherwiz
    Let’s just make our own!
  24. weatherwiz
    maybe some flash flooders today?
  25. weatherwiz
    I just want to go to bed and suffocate under the blankets
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