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weatherwiz

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by weatherwiz

  1. weatherwiz
    Dews drop tonight into early tomorrow morning but look to rebound during the afternoon.
  2. weatherwiz
    Severe potential pretty low today IMO except maybe a rogue cell or two. Sun not much of a factor with this...instability is there due the high dews/theta-e air (granted mostly water loaded) but shear is really not much. Deal is there is plenty of buoyance to lift parcels, but just not enough forcing/dynamics to generate deep convection. Best convection right now near Syracuse where they are on the nose of some steeper mid-level lapse rates and dry slot just behind the front.
  3. weatherwiz
    If some of that stronger instability to the south was able to get into eastern sections, that developing line could have been more interesting. Shear isn't tremendous, but 0-1km helicity values are around 100 m2s2. LCL's are about 500m so it wouldn't take much to produce a quick spin-up
  4. weatherwiz
    You can use them as logs and float back home
  5. weatherwiz
    Severe potential is quite low today. Maybe a rogue strong/severe cell. Was thinking perhaps southern New Hampshire into northern Worcester county had the best shot, but looks like models back off a bit on a stronger llvl jet.
  6. weatherwiz
    There will be so much flooding tomorrow that there may be waterspouts…over land
  7. weatherwiz
    Anyone who gets smoke today will be screwed tomorrow.
  8. weatherwiz
    In terms of severe potential the greatest potential may be southern New Hampshire into northern Worcester County (at least per the NAM). NAM really strengthens the llvl jet there through the morning. Anyways though, flooding is certainly a higher risk then severe weather is.
  9. weatherwiz
    Haven’t looked at models since Friday and wasn’t looking in depth at a local level. Might be a better threat for strong storms central/northern New England though $13 for a 30oz
  10. weatherwiz
    Stopped there for a rest but those seats are amazing!!
  11. weatherwiz
    Went with Sam Summer.
  12. weatherwiz
    Baseball
  13. weatherwiz
    Of course I go to Hartford and
  14. weatherwiz
    The issue is not so much the amounts, it’s a lot of rain will fall in a very short amount of time.
  15. weatherwiz
    Just standing here with the swear building. The hot sun just basking everyone. Clothes stuck to body. This is summer!!!!
  16. weatherwiz
    Wow that is a strike out of blue
  17. weatherwiz
    In Hartford for some baseball this evening!
  18. weatherwiz
    Went on a Poke walk during lunch. Could feel dews definitely came down. Really didn't even feel all that humid which was disappointing.
  19. weatherwiz
    Should see some solid lightning producers out in east-central NY today. Maybe even a few nasty wind producers.
  20. weatherwiz
    They've probably melted in the heat/humidity
  21. weatherwiz
    Looks like the convective temperature was around 80 or so. If the convective temp can be reached, there should be some explosive supercells around that area. Wouldn't be much to prevent parcels from reaching the LFC (though it does seem on the higher side...but I'm also not entirely familiar with convection in the Inter-mountain West).
  22. weatherwiz
    What are you looking to know/understand?
  23. weatherwiz
    Dews may not drop below 68 until mid-December
  24. weatherwiz
    Well this goes perfectly with my previous post with the lapse rates but this is one synoptic look that makes your mouth water in terms of severe potential. Too bad its so far out there. but if you ever wanted to show someone what a favorable synoptic pattern looks like for some bigger severe here...this would be it.
  25. weatherwiz
    Looks like a prolonged stretch of extreme heat across the Southwest and interior California coming up
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