weatherwiz
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Everything posted by weatherwiz
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Stuff is going to ride along the warm front/instability gradient
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That is a nice clustering of storms in east-central New York. Instability has been increasing as the warm front gradually lifts north and shear is increasing too. If this clustering develops a cold pool...this may be able to survive well into CT.
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I am watching radar. We shall see what happens
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Pretty soon we’ll just be two seasons. Super high dews and high dews
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agreed
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may be leafing out before then
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Majority of daytime should be fine. Think potential is more towards and after the evening
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Probably a precursor to DJF
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I have full glass as part of my policy!
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Holy **** I’d rather risk it with plastic wrap
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I think that event had steep lapse rates from hell
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I want to sit around in the basement and tell ghost stories during a tornado warning with a flashlight under my chin and make hissing noises
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I never realized how cheap it is to replace a cracked windshield. I thought it was like $1000+. I’m hoping we get giant hail tomorrow. I’ll core punch
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That was Wednesday night, right?
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That heat/humidity has been beyond relentless down there. I can’t even remember when this stretch began but I want to say it’s been at least a solid month (of this extreme stuff). EDIt: May be pushing two months actually
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Sounds amazing
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Unfortunately I don't think there is enough room for this to slow that much
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That's my inclination. It is interesting to note though (which Ryan mentioned earlier) is the NAM keeps it quite unstable to the river well into the overnight. Obviously nocturnal severe is extremely difficult in these parts, but that potential tends to be higher in August and we do have somewhat steep lapse rates which is a HUGE change from guidance.
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may see an enhanced somewhere tomorrow per SPC!!!
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I don't even try on clothes or shoes. I know about what size to get. I go in the store and if there is something cute in my size I just grab and go. Quick and easy.
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CAPE/shear combo is certainly impressive. HRRR looked pretty decent with getting storms into central CT with the NAM a big lagged. I saw your post last night about Sunday, that's a pretty decent along the coast on east with good lapse rates.
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Was shocked to see it expanded so far East.
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Tomorrow looks very interesting just off to the West. I'm not sure if we will get stuff to maintain moving into western Mass and northwestern Connecticut but that's some pretty good deep layer shear and directional shear. Also, lapse rates don't look as terrible as they did a few days ago.
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NAM is pretty decent up to the CT/MA border Saturday. mlvl lapse rates blow so typical caveats with that
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I haven't really paid attention to the environment today and just looked at mesoanalysis and that's a helluva environment down in New Jersey. 125-150 J of 3km CAPE just east with 0-1km helicity of 200 m2s2...yikes
