calculus1

31 minutes ago, BooneWX said:

I was just about to say. I’d kill for a legit Miller A right about now. Pain is seeing snow the west and east but nothing here. The Dec 2018 and Feb 2014 storm truly were magical for the foothills. I’m not close to being ready to throw in the towel yet. Climo will eventually be in our favor - the quick hitters are rarely our storms but that’s ok. 

Yep, that's the tough part.  It's amazing how much they got in the W-S area this morning.  The lee of the Apps is a tough place to live if you like snow.  Really need those classic Miller A storms, but those are few and far between now, it seems.

Finally changed over to a good rain/snow mix here in Hickory.  More snow than rain at this moment, but it fluctuates, and it is very wet.  Regardless, it's pretty to watch the flakes fall.

18 minutes ago, BretWx said:

Off topic - I used to be able to insert some decent quality photos in my posts here, but now I am getting a size restriction. Any way around that?

Yes, upload the photos to an image-hosting site like IMGUR.  Then, you can link to them.

I went to the Panthers game in shorts and a t-shirt yesterday.  

Event is overachieving here somewhat. Sitting near a half an inch now. Good soaking aerial rain. We need this once a week to make a dent in the dry conditions this month 
Finished with 0.46” and our MTD now stands at 0.61” 

I'm very late to the party here, but congratulations Met1985!

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BTW, that heavy line just put down 2 inches at my house in about a half hour. According to my Vantage Vue, my max rain rate over that period was 13.09 in/hr! I'm at about 6.5 in for the month now with measurable rainfall on six straight days.

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These reports out of SW NC are just insane. We've had off and on rain all day, and the heavy line just went through, but these totals and pictures are epic. So much loss of property but hopefully not lives. Thanks for all the updates and documentation of the event, mountain folk.

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Lots of localized rain here today. 2.34 inches in my backyard in about an hour's time. Just downpours!

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It's amazing the variety of responses to these vaccines. Pretty unpredictable. I had double Pfizer a while ago, and no symptoms with either. My arm has been sorer with the flu vaccine. My wife got J&J, and no side effects either. My good friend got J&J same day as my wife and developed Guillain-Barre. Three months in and still not back to work for him. It's a struggle to walk and grasp anything, with constant pain in his extremities. I hate it for him and his family. Despite his difficulties, he is still very much pro-vaccine and encourages others to not use him as an excuse to avoid it.

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It's been relatively dry here lately too (see my signature).  We did get over two inches of rain over Memorial Day weekend, but it's been dry otherwise.

1.51 inches of much needed rainfall today. It feels amazing outside right now.

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Freeze Watch issued for tomorrow night into Friday morning with a chance of higher elevations getting some snow tomorrow behind the cold front. An adjective Freeze looks likely tomorrow night with blustery NW winds and temperatures dropping to at least the upper 20's in the Valley. I would not be shocked to see flurries down in Maggie mid day tomorrow. 

Yesterday's NWS forecast for MBY here in Hickory, NC, was for less than a tenth of an inch of rain today and less than a tenth for tonight.

How's that working out? Nasso good.

I am pushing two inches for today and a whole bunch more moisture still downstream...

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Great pics and stories, @NGTim.  Thanks for sharing with us.  So cool that you got to hang out with TWC crew!  I have family just outside of Boulder in Lafayette.  They said it was the most snow they have seen in their 5 or so years of living out there.  Such an amazing storm, and I am glad you got to experience it.

1 hour ago, jburns said:

Feb. 27 eh.  Interesting. It can happen.  This was my backyard on Feb 27, 2004.  I had accumulated around four inches during the day but this is the 20” I ended up with after more than three hours of unbelievably heavy thunder snow. It wasn’t just rumbling thunder in the distance. Some of the flashes lit the yard like daylight.

I could stand a repeat.

That picture is a classic on this board.  One of the best...

Definitely a glaze now, but no danger of any significant ice accumulations. Temp has risen to 32.0. This thing is over here. Another WSW that proves to be a nothing-burger. The best winter weather we have had was the unwarned 2.5-inch surprise snowstorm we had in the middle of the night back in January. Go figure.

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31.8/31 here. Maybe a glaze in the tree tops? Moderate rainfall right now.

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9 minutes ago, AirNelson39 said:

Temp continues to rise, now 36.1/26 3 miles NE of HKY airport.

Likewise here.  36.1/27.  This is going the wrong way for ice accumulation.

After a high of 44.5, I am at 33.8/26 IMBY.

10 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

Ummm... Any context you can provide with this post?  What are you showing me here?

53 minutes ago, Ernest T Bass said:

So far this year, freezing rain really hasn't materialized along the I40 corridor southwest of the Triad.  I'm a little skeptical because of that, but sure looks like  Statesville to Hickory to back toward the foothills and mountains might be in trouble this time.   Hoping for sleet...

I agree, @Ernest T Bass.  Nothing has materialized to any degree here in the Hickory area, despite the multiple possibilities of freezing rain.  But, this one feels different somehow...

2 hours ago, BornAgain13 said:

That would save many folks from widespread damage.

And...provide amazing sledding opportunities.  Glaze of freezing rain over a base of sleet?! 

Blacksburg just extended their WSW products to their southern tier of counties.  GSP, what say you?

Quote

Winter Storm Watch

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
159 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021

...Significant mix of wintry precipitation possible...

.A low pressure system will bring wintry precipitation across the
Mid Atlantic starting on Wednesday night. Significant amounts of
snow, sleet, and freezing rain are possible. The precipitation
may start as a mix of snow and sleet on Wednesday night and
change over to freezing rain for most locations by Thursday.
Colder air could change the precipitation back to a mix of snow
and sleet by late Thursday evening.

NCZ001>003-018>020-VAZ007-009-010-012-015-170500-
/O.EXB.KRNK.WS.A.0006.210218T0000Z-210219T0500Z/
Ashe-Alleghany NC-Surry-Watauga-Wilkes-Yadkin-Tazewell-Smyth-
Bland-Wythe-Grayson-
Including the cities of West Jefferson, Sparta, Dobson, Boone,
Wilkesboro, Yadkinville, Tazewell, Marion, Bland, Wytheville,
Independence, Whitetop, Troutdale, and Volney
159 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow and sleet
  accumulations of up to two inches and ice accumulations up to a
  quarter of an inch possible.

* WHERE...Portions of southwest Virginia and north central and
  northwest North Carolina.

* WHEN...From Wednesday evening through Thursday evening.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

15 minutes ago, olafminesaw said:

FRAM isn't a model, it's an algorithm that calculated true accrual of  ice. It tends to be much more conservative than just straight accumulation maps.This is why it's concerning, because it will account for the portion of the rain that's just runoff.

Yes, it's one of the many "grayed-out" premium features under the Winter Weather tab for the various model suites offered on Pivotal Weather.