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Posts posted by calculus1
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Just getting up here in Black Mountain. It appears to only be about 2 inches on the deck right now. Thought there would be quite a bit more by this time seeing the reports from you other guys above. It’s decent rates right now, so we will see how this adds up.
Congrats on those down the mountain getting in on it. @strongwxnc
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Spaghetti all around, it seems. Except for @Met1985. He’s going high class with the ribeye.
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Just finished some nice salad, spaghetti, and garlic bread here in Black Mountain. Currently 36/29.
My mother-in-law liked my Vantage Vue so much that she picked up one too. So, all the comforts of home (weather-speaking) here too. =)
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At the in-laws in Black Mountain. Flurries started on Old Fort Mountain on I-40. Light flurry action here at their house too. Turned on the game and saw Chris Justus break in with those same maps @strongwxnc posted above. We are right on the western border of his 12+ stripe. He is much more bullish than is the NWS. Fingers crossed. Let’s get this show started!
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In laws reporting flakes in Black Mountain!
Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk- 2
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Packing up the car and getting ready to drive the family up to Black Mountain. Here. We. Go!
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Radar looking like it’s incoming to Rutherford County. Heads-up @strongwxnc.
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20 minutes ago, Sandstorm94 said:
That snow map is “Total Snow” and would incorporate everything getting ready to fall in the western half of the state. Thus, it’s really big for the east, and the west is on the fringe. For now.
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Just waiting on that NW trend…
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Here’s the Panovich mid-morning blog. Really focuses on the Charlotte metro area. Moral of the story: ICE.
Brad Panovich (@wxbrad) Tweeted:
11am Winter Storm VLOG 1/15/2022: The focus should be on ice and not snow. https://t.co/Bi23qKAXR6 via @YouTube #cltwx #ncwx #scwx #wcnc- 1
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Here's GSP's latest expected snowfall map. Numbers going down for NW piedmont but remaining quite strong in mountain areas:
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I like Panovich's in-house futurecast for western areas. Looks like snow for the mountains the entire time and a very long duration event:
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35 minutes ago, Bevo said:
Haha I've grown to old to not tell the truth.
Never was one for bollocks and nonsense
Yes! We have a "bollocks"! Now, this storm has officially been christened. Welcome back, @Bevo.
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40 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:
This needs to be said: be very, very weary of the thermal profile depicted by the NAM. That model absolutely excels in CAD scenarios such as this. I’d be extremely concerned even in mountain areas if subsequent runs show that warm nose cutting snow off 1/2 way through the storm as this run did, that run was awful for everyone and sadly I give it heightened credence given that models excellent track record nailing warm noses in CAD events. Watch that trend
I am very weary of NAM thermal profiles. They have tired me out completely today worrying about their significance. Thus, I'm also wary of what they are showing.
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13 minutes ago, wncsnow said:
It was not a good run even for western folks due to later arrival and less precip.
Yeah, that was pretty horrific overall, even for mountain valleys. Only the high elevations looked good from the 3K NAM. The onset of precipitation was much later than with the other models, too. Ugh.
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1 hour ago, HKY_WX said:
Any of you guys have a davis weather station or some similar? I've been thinking of getting one for months but might bite the bullet and do it. Any recommendations?
I love my Davis Vantage Vue. Had one for probably 12 years now. Does great on temperature and rain measurements. Easy to setup and transmits to an in-house receiver with all kinds of cool graphs, measurements, etc.
You can also use their software program to keep records and do whatever else you might wish to do with it.
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1 hour ago, AsheCounty48 said:
Nah, keep it up, you're bringing the heat.
I would rather he bring the cold, if it’s all the same to the rest of you.
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The NWS didn't change much with their Expected snowfall graphic from 9:30 this morning:
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Oops. I was looking at 06Z 3K NAM. My bad. I erased my prior posts. Thanks for the new post, @wncsnow.
2021-2022 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
in Southeastern States
Posted
Man, that dry slot is going to be here in about 2 hours, at the most, now. Hope we can snow at least 1 inch per hour until then. That would put us at about 4 inches, if so.
Reporting from Black Mountain.