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Posts posted by calculus1

  1. Definitely a glaze now, but no danger of any significant ice accumulations. Temp has risen to 32.0. This thing is over here. Another WSW that proves to be a nothing-burger. The best winter weather we have had was the unwarned 2.5-inch surprise snowstorm we had in the middle of the night back in January. Go figure.

    Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk

  2. 53 minutes ago, Ernest T Bass said:

    So far this year, freezing rain really hasn't materialized along the I40 corridor southwest of the Triad.  I'm a little skeptical because of that, but sure looks like  Statesville to Hickory to back toward the foothills and mountains might be in trouble this time.   Hoping for sleet...

    I agree, @Ernest T Bass.  Nothing has materialized to any degree here in the Hickory area, despite the multiple possibilities of freezing rain.  But, this one feels different somehow...

    • Like 2
  3. Blacksburg just extended their WSW products to their southern tier of counties.  GSP, what say you?


    Winter Storm Watch

    National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
    159 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021
    ...Significant mix of wintry precipitation possible...
    .A low pressure system will bring wintry precipitation across the
    Mid Atlantic starting on Wednesday night. Significant amounts of
    snow, sleet, and freezing rain are possible. The precipitation
    may start as a mix of snow and sleet on Wednesday night and
    change over to freezing rain for most locations by Thursday.
    Colder air could change the precipitation back to a mix of snow
    and sleet by late Thursday evening.
    Ashe-Alleghany NC-Surry-Watauga-Wilkes-Yadkin-Tazewell-Smyth-
    Including the cities of West Jefferson, Sparta, Dobson, Boone,
    Wilkesboro, Yadkinville, Tazewell, Marion, Bland, Wytheville,
    Independence, Whitetop, Troutdale, and Volney
    159 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021
    * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow and sleet
      accumulations of up to two inches and ice accumulations up to a
      quarter of an inch possible.
    * WHERE...Portions of southwest Virginia and north central and
      northwest North Carolina.
    * WHEN...From Wednesday evening through Thursday evening.
    * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
      conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.


  4. 15 minutes ago, olafminesaw said:

    FRAM isn't a model, it's an algorithm that calculated true accrual of  ice. It tends to be much more conservative than just straight accumulation maps.This is why it's concerning, because it will account for the portion of the rain that's just runoff.

    Yes, it's one of the many "grayed-out" premium features under the Winter Weather tab for the various model suites offered on Pivotal Weather.

  5. ^That's interesting how much melt you had even by 4 AM. Our street/driveway were still covered around 8 AM and still 1.5 inches on the ground. It went quickly once the sun came out around 10 AM, though.

    Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk

    • Like 1
  6. I measure 2.75" in Newton last  night then we had a band of sleet and drizzle once we lost the best precip and lift. Probably good 1.5" after compaction and melting. 
    Yeah, I had 1.5 when I measured this morning. But I had 2+ when I went to bed, and it was still snowing good. Thus, my total of 2.5 inches. Might've been more, but can't say with any certainty.

    Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk

  7. 2 minutes ago, strongwxnc said:

    Absolutely. I decided to go to sleep at 10 PM last night so I can get up this morning :-). Perfect sledding weather and snowman making!

    Smart man!

    It's a wet, soggy mess here and melting fast.  We tried sledding (unsuccessfully), and my boys made a snowman.  Snowball fights are intense too.  They are full of wet, heavy slushballs that splash on impact.  :D

    All in all, I love it!  Such a nice surprise.  Even got upgraded to a Winter Storm Warning around 12:00 PM.  HRRR was all over this one, for once.

    • Like 1
  8. I'm calling it 2.5 inches for MBY.
    Beautiful snowfall from about 9:30 until...
    I went to bed around 1:00 and it was still snowing nicely.
    Such a pleasant surprise from what usually happens: We busted high!

    Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk

    • Like 3
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