calculus1

Definitely a glaze now, but no danger of any significant ice accumulations. Temp has risen to 32.0. This thing is over here. Another WSW that proves to be a nothing-burger. The best winter weather we have had was the unwarned 2.5-inch surprise snowstorm we had in the middle of the night back in January. Go figure.

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31.8/31 here. Maybe a glaze in the tree tops? Moderate rainfall right now.

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9 minutes ago, AirNelson39 said:

Temp continues to rise, now 36.1/26 3 miles NE of HKY airport.

Likewise here.  36.1/27.  This is going the wrong way for ice accumulation.

After a high of 44.5, I am at 33.8/26 IMBY.

10 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

 

Ummm... Any context you can provide with this post?  What are you showing me here?

53 minutes ago, Ernest T Bass said:

So far this year, freezing rain really hasn't materialized along the I40 corridor southwest of the Triad.  I'm a little skeptical because of that, but sure looks like  Statesville to Hickory to back toward the foothills and mountains might be in trouble this time.   Hoping for sleet...

I agree, @Ernest T Bass.  Nothing has materialized to any degree here in the Hickory area, despite the multiple possibilities of freezing rain.  But, this one feels different somehow...

2 hours ago, BornAgain13 said:

That would save many folks from widespread damage.

And...provide amazing sledding opportunities.  Glaze of freezing rain over a base of sleet?! 

 

Blacksburg just extended their WSW products to their southern tier of counties.  GSP, what say you?

Quote

Winter Storm Watch

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
159 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021

...Significant mix of wintry precipitation possible...

.A low pressure system will bring wintry precipitation across the
Mid Atlantic starting on Wednesday night. Significant amounts of
snow, sleet, and freezing rain are possible. The precipitation
may start as a mix of snow and sleet on Wednesday night and
change over to freezing rain for most locations by Thursday.
Colder air could change the precipitation back to a mix of snow
and sleet by late Thursday evening.

NCZ001>003-018>020-VAZ007-009-010-012-015-170500-
/O.EXB.KRNK.WS.A.0006.210218T0000Z-210219T0500Z/
Ashe-Alleghany NC-Surry-Watauga-Wilkes-Yadkin-Tazewell-Smyth-
Bland-Wythe-Grayson-
Including the cities of West Jefferson, Sparta, Dobson, Boone,
Wilkesboro, Yadkinville, Tazewell, Marion, Bland, Wytheville,
Independence, Whitetop, Troutdale, and Volney
159 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow and sleet
  accumulations of up to two inches and ice accumulations up to a
  quarter of an inch possible.

* WHERE...Portions of southwest Virginia and north central and
  northwest North Carolina.

* WHEN...From Wednesday evening through Thursday evening.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

 

15 minutes ago, olafminesaw said:

FRAM isn't a model, it's an algorithm that calculated true accrual of  ice. It tends to be much more conservative than just straight accumulation maps.This is why it's concerning, because it will account for the portion of the rain that's just runoff.

Yes, it's one of the many "grayed-out" premium features under the Winter Weather tab for the various model suites offered on Pivotal Weather.

Lowest temp overnight for me was 32.3. no visible signs of icing. Light drizzle continues.

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32.4/32 here now. Colder than I thought...

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32.5/32 here in NE Hickory. No icing I can see. As@AirNelson39 said, another WWA where nothing will come to fruition.

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^That's interesting how much melt you had even by 4 AM. Our street/driveway were still covered around 8 AM and still 1.5 inches on the ground. It went quickly once the sun came out around 10 AM, though.

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I measure 2.75" in Newton last  night then we had a band of sleet and drizzle once we lost the best precip and lift. Probably good 1.5" after compaction and melting. 

Yeah, I had 1.5 when I measured this morning. But I had 2+ when I went to bed, and it was still snowing good. Thus, my total of 2.5 inches. Might've been more, but can't say with any certainty.

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2 minutes ago, strongwxnc said:

Absolutely. I decided to go to sleep at 10 PM last night so I can get up this morning :-). Perfect sledding weather and snowman making!

Smart man!

It's a wet, soggy mess here and melting fast.  We tried sledding (unsuccessfully), and my boys made a snowman.  Snowball fights are intense too.  They are full of wet, heavy slushballs that splash on impact. 

All in all, I love it!  Such a nice surprise.  Even got upgraded to a Winter Storm Warning around 12:00 PM.  HRRR was all over this one, for once.

Here are my best pics from last night:

 

 

And, here are a few videos I took:

Snowflakes in the streetlight:  https://i.imgur.com/0PBCsUb.mp4

Snowflake shadows on the road:  https://i.imgur.com/fdHtzEu.mp4

Snowfall in the back yard:  https://i.imgur.com/gjYiUWg.mp4

2 hours ago, strongwxnc said:

2.5" total here with lite FR rain now. 

This was the heaviest snow I have seen in a while. Locations just to my south reporting 3.5-4".

Same for me, @strongwxnc. 2.5 inches here, and it is melting fast.  It was beautiful while it fell last night.  Stayed up way too late to enjoy it, but I will try to make that up later.

 

I'm calling it 2.5 inches for MBY.
Beautiful snowfall from about 9:30 until...
I went to bed around 1:00 and it was still snowing nicely.
Such a pleasant surprise from what usually happens: We busted high!

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Here's a video out the back door taken 10 minutes ago:

Just took this out the back door.  Nice heavy snow with big flakes still coming down.  Up to 2 solid inches now.

Boom!  Just got upgraded to a Winter Storm Warning in Catawba County!

32.1/31 now.  Big flakes again.  Pushing close to 2 inches, but I gotta head to bed here soon...

Here's a cool video of the shadows of the flakes under the streetlight on the road:

Here's one looking up at the light.  These flakes were huge!

Here's a couple pics from my walk:

 

It was so beautiful and quite outside.  We have an inch on elevated surfaces and a half inch on the road.  My footprints were covered by the time I got back to the house.  32.3/31