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Everything posted by weathertree4u
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12/10-11/19 Potential Valley Wide Snow Event.
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yea, I think it will be close - got an awful lot of kiddos headed out the door this am for school - if it changes sooner than expected...- 486 replies
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- 1
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- snow
- rain to snow
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(and 2 more)
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12/10-11/19 Potential Valley Wide Snow Event.
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Some of that is sleet; I am northeast of Nashville and we have sleet mixing in here- 486 replies
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- 5
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- snow
- rain to snow
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(and 2 more)
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December/January 2019/20 Winter Speculation Thread
weathertree4u replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
They like to play their cards pretty close to their chest most times.- 1,666 replies
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I will take it - I think at least part of the fun I have tracking this time of year is to see the local NWS consistently get it incorrect lol - perhaps Yoda can assist!
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December/January 2019/20 Winter Speculation Thread
weathertree4u replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Local NWS at Nashville calling it a non-event which is a sure sign it will snow; seems like almost every time they approach something in a dismissive nature it backfires on them. "This continues to look like a non-event for most locations in terms of wintry accumulation. At first glance, the ECMWF/GFS 850mb 0C isotherm does not reach Middle Tennessee until 00z or later on Wednesday." https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=OHX&issuedby=OHX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1- 1,666 replies
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December/January 2019/20 Winter Speculation Thread
weathertree4u replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
maps?- 1,666 replies
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December/January 2019/20 Winter Speculation Thread
weathertree4u replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
True, that is essentially at least an advisory level event for most of the state- 1,666 replies
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December/January 2019/20 Winter Speculation Thread
weathertree4u replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yea lock that in for me north of Nashville, thanks for sharing- 1,666 replies
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December/January 2019/20 Winter Speculation Thread
weathertree4u replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
No maps? lol- 1,666 replies
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December/January 2019/20 Winter Speculation Thread
weathertree4u replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Looks good, like I said, at least something to track this season, thanks- 1,666 replies
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December/January 2019/20 Winter Speculation Thread
weathertree4u replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
That would be sweet - just for giggles, what is the snow amounts associated with #2?- 1,666 replies
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December/January 2019/20 Winter Speculation Thread
weathertree4u replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
One thing I do think the model does well at is portraying the very active pattern we remain in going forward, that was why I had posted earlier that I like our chances going forward that if we can get some cold mixed in here, eventually, someone in the forum area is going to cash in- 1,666 replies
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December/January 2019/20 Winter Speculation Thread
weathertree4u replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
I would not honestly put too much stock in what the GFS was portraying at this point. It is a sad representation of our tax dollars at work. The model does well at showing a completely different solution with every run, for that, I give high marks!- 1,666 replies
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December/January 2019/20 Winter Speculation Thread
weathertree4u replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
I think our chances are much better this season versus recent years to at the least have something to track - thanks for all the information provided on the forum!- 1,666 replies
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December/January 2019/20 Winter Speculation Thread
weathertree4u replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
We had a good snow a few years ago in February - I am north of Nashville - just seems like statistically this overall pattern should break - just afraid Nashvillians will be so spoiled with mild winters even the smallest storm will and does create havoc- 1,666 replies
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December/January 2019/20 Winter Speculation Thread
weathertree4u replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
In this season of thanksgiving, I am thankful for those of you that can do the heavy lifting with model interpretation. I just would like one good snow this year, I do not think I am asking too much.- 1,666 replies
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December/January 2019/20 Winter Speculation Thread
weathertree4u replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
As far as I can tell the model, the one thing consistent is that the long range will always be different!- 1,666 replies
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December/January 2019/20 Winter Speculation Thread
weathertree4u replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yea and honestly, I am not holding out much, if any hope, that this Winter will be any different. So far, I see the same thing, nothing against forum members, but allot of talk about how things are going to change and then it is in reality the same thing, cold/snow in the west, warm and wet in the East.- 1,666 replies
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Tennessee Valley 2019 Fall Speculation/Forecasting
weathertree4u replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
That is for certain!- 574 replies
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- early winter
- leaves changing
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Tennessee Valley 2019 Fall Speculation/Forecasting
weathertree4u replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Lock it in - funny to see such disparity bet with local mets on this - I do think Nashville National Weather Service even mentions this or has anything besides mostly cloudy in the forecast for this time period.- 574 replies
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- early winter
- leaves changing
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Spring/Summer 2019 medium to long range discussion.
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I think, and someone that has more experience in this can chime in, but that bottoming out of the cycles length as we get enter a grand minimum -
Not liking, not that any of us would, the wet pattern that seems to be being telegraphed by long range modeling, not to mention the severe threats!
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Can tell a difference in the air mass this morning versus yesterday morning, most certainly feels like a late Spring morning, hope we can get a pass on this one too!
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TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of whenever
weathertree4u replied to janetjanet998's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yea it is not a good look on the models that is for sure. Do not know where we are going to put the couple inches we should get this weekend. No telling what would happen if we got that as modeled -
TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of whenever
weathertree4u replied to janetjanet998's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yea was over middle tn yesterday runs imagine will move around until get closer