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weathertree4u

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Everything posted by weathertree4u

  1. Local NWS at Nashville calling it a non-event which is a sure sign it will snow; seems like almost every time they approach something in a dismissive nature it backfires on them. "This continues to look like a non-event for most locations in terms of wintry accumulation. At first glance, the ECMWF/GFS 850mb 0C isotherm does not reach Middle Tennessee until 00z or later on Wednesday." https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=OHX&issuedby=OHX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1
  2. True, that is essentially at least an advisory level event for most of the state
  3. Yea lock that in for me north of Nashville, thanks for sharing
  4. Looks good, like I said, at least something to track this season, thanks
  5. That would be sweet - just for giggles, what is the snow amounts associated with #2?
  6. One thing I do think the model does well at is portraying the very active pattern we remain in going forward, that was why I had posted earlier that I like our chances going forward that if we can get some cold mixed in here, eventually, someone in the forum area is going to cash in
  7. I would not honestly put too much stock in what the GFS was portraying at this point. It is a sad representation of our tax dollars at work. The model does well at showing a completely different solution with every run, for that, I give high marks!
  8. I think our chances are much better this season versus recent years to at the least have something to track - thanks for all the information provided on the forum!
  9. We had a good snow a few years ago in February - I am north of Nashville - just seems like statistically this overall pattern should break - just afraid Nashvillians will be so spoiled with mild winters even the smallest storm will and does create havoc
  10. In this season of thanksgiving, I am thankful for those of you that can do the heavy lifting with model interpretation. I just would like one good snow this year, I do not think I am asking too much.
  11. As far as I can tell the model, the one thing consistent is that the long range will always be different!
  12. Yea and honestly, I am not holding out much, if any hope, that this Winter will be any different. So far, I see the same thing, nothing against forum members, but allot of talk about how things are going to change and then it is in reality the same thing, cold/snow in the west, warm and wet in the East.
  13. Not liking, not that any of us would, the wet pattern that seems to be being telegraphed by long range modeling, not to mention the severe threats!
  14. Can tell a difference in the air mass this morning versus yesterday morning, most certainly feels like a late Spring morning, hope we can get a pass on this one too!
  15. Yea it is not a good look on the models that is for sure. Do not know where we are going to put the couple inches we should get this weekend. No telling what would happen if we got that as modeled
  16. Yea was over middle tn yesterday runs imagine will move around until get closer
  17. CFS seems bring heavy rain back to region through March
  18. Personally speaking, I do not think that the current time period will be the big issue. Heading into the Spring, I feel like we are in a bad place. North of Nashville we got close to 4" yesterday evening which, of course, as in the East TN area, flash flooding. We need a large scale pattern change, I mean large scale. I dont want a drought but seems like we are over due for one!
  19. Yea, won't take much blow allot timber down
  20. Just do not honestly see how this has a good ending no matter how it plays out over the next week
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