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weathertree4u

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Everything posted by weathertree4u

  1. Oh well I am sure will be 100% different next run, it is the gfs remember
  2. I just want a good old fashioned snow of 4" - 6" don't want to be transported to the movie Frozen
  3. Seems like someone mentioned all this yesterday but was poo pooed, looks very very much like another head fake of a winter.
  4. Yea, noticed that too and like you, realize that the noon run will be different, the GEFS is amazing stable with the tune it is singing regarding the cold.
  5. So, is the 06Z finally sniffing out the LR pattern or do we think it is a blip? Looks like we get the cold in good and start throwing systems into the base of the trough.
  6. Yea, seems like it is picking up speed as it is approaching Nashville, that is about as red as you can get on the radar!
  7. North of Nashville here and seem to be getting gusts I would guess by the way things are blowing around and the sound of around 40 - 45 mph or so
  8. Now you say stone cold - are we talking cold like several days in the 30's or cold like likely going negative for a few nights? I know if we get snow on the ground, lows, at least seem to me like, not to be modeled correctly. All of this may be for nothing anyway if we all blow away this morning, wow is it howling out there where I am at and the line is still about an hour away.
  9. I like that look - what kind of temps would that translate to?
  10. My question is - why does the GFS show something almost night and day different?
  11. Seen this movie before - major changes telegraphed in the LR - then when it gets to the timeframe modeled - the pattern of persistence is the one that wins out - hope I am wrong but just seen this too many times before.
  12. Will answer my own question - yes - same pattern seems to be persisting at the end of the run - low up to the Great Lakes, cool down, warm up, low up to the Great Lakes, rinse and repeat all thanks to that confounded SER
  13. I was just going to post something about those! Looks like the cold is growing ever more muted - on the GFS anyway - with each model run - seems like there was or has been this issue of the cold being over-modeled in the long range. Am I just seeing things or is this it just the GFS?
  14. Hopefully by Sunday or so, the models should have ingested the pattern change and we should, correct me if mistaken, some continuity with possible storms over the next few weeks; overall, I like the area's chances going forward!
  15. I agree, at least we will eventually lose this wet pattern
  16. The 6 am run was totally different from previous as well
  17. Latest run of GFS providing yet another different solution for the long range
  18. There is some really cold air upstream. I recall January 1985 how warm it was and then that arctic front came through drpping 6" of snow that everyone said wouldn't stick then I've box for three days
  19. Thank goodness, hopefully we can avoid real issues with flooding by the end of the month but it will be close.
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