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weathertree4u

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Everything posted by weathertree4u

  1. weathertree4u
    Yea the cold is there but not really anything to pull it down
  2. weathertree4u
    To my untrained eye, it looks to me like the GFS, with all its faults, is more normal in the long range, aside from the current time period, I do not see any prolonged off the charts warming. I do see a continued wet pattern which we simply do not need at all!
  3. weathertree4u
    Is that good?
  4. weathertree4u
    See, never too early to start talking next Winter!
  5. weathertree4u
    Interesting, this is of course something I am guessing that will come into better focus over time? For example, by Sunday?
  6. weathertree4u
    Lol not surprised.
  7. weathertree4u
    One good thing about this season is that there are at least things on modeling to track in the long range. Placement may not be the way that we want it right now but honestly, what more can we ask for at this point? At least it is different from last year and chances are, this time next year, it will be different yet again!
  8. weathertree4u
    Yea, don't get me wrong, I like him too and I like that he has the cold bent but I just wish that he was right more often lol
  9. weathertree4u
    Well, he always goes ice cold for his forecasts
  10. weathertree4u
    Too early to start a thread for Winter 2020/2021?
  11. weathertree4u
    What kind of cold are we talking? Vodka cold or just cold cold? If it is Vodka cold, systems will be shunted south of the TN Valley and places like Montgomery AL will be getting our snow lol
  12. weathertree4u
    Keep that! We had about 5" Monday!
  13. weathertree4u
    Yea and then it took it away in the next run lol
  14. weathertree4u
    Gotcha - periodically a good look appears on the CFS but then is usually gone the next run - my perception is that eventually what we are seeing depicted in the ensembles should, should, eventually translate into the operational runs.
  15. weathertree4u
    Looks like the same general pattern is continuing on overnight modeling - periodic cold shots, moisture chasing the cold, then warm up, then cool down; what am I am missing?
  16. weathertree4u
    Paint me surprised!
  17. weathertree4u
    Well, honestly, the last few years considered, my expectations are pretty low for anything different. I would think that we would get into a different pattern eventually, I mean it has been warm and wet wet and wet every season for several years now
  18. weathertree4u
    Exactly! Around here, if we cant get it done by first part of February, climatology starts working against us very quickly.
  19. weathertree4u
    Not really seeing anything in the long-range other than rain!
  20. weathertree4u
    I will take it - as many have stated - at least there is something to track this season and it is changeable - not a continuous Fall throughout Winter lol
  21. weathertree4u
    As I seem to recall, with one of the analog years that has been touted, 1985, we were fairly warm that December, but then the pattern must have changed because then we went t0 -17 that next month - seems like Nashville also got 5 or 6 inches of snow
  22. weathertree4u
    Yea that is good but it has a propensity to send everything to the lakes, I bet at noon that high will be gone lol
  23. weathertree4u
    As someone has stated already, the operational GFS is all over the place right now, not sure what the reasoning behind that is but it is fun to watch it for the crazy solutions
  24. weathertree4u
    Is it just me or has the front stopped southward progress? The line of rain or precip at this point does not appear to be moving southeast precip is simply riding the track southwest to northeast
  25. weathertree4u
    Believe it is close to 35 right - I would say from the sound of it on the windows the majority of what is falling is now sleet
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