Ralph Wiggum
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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum
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The sleet is spreading N and W still. Really unbelievable....well, not really. We can only hope that there will be one last surprise for the good as it wobbles S the SE before pulling away for us in the sleet zone. -
Yes...a Miller B. Imma fold on that one right now thank you.
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Didn't want to cave but completely agree. Waited long enough. Heaviest returns now well W, sleet line pushing n and w, dry slot moving into lower Bucks.
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Radar indeed does show sleet line pushing back N.
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You could be correct, but very location dependent.
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Windy as all hell outside. Trashcan rolling around like tumbleweeds and 50/50 sleet snow now. It's about to go down boyz
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Wow upgraded here in Central Bucks additional 12-18" nws. Storm has stalled and will last well into tuesday. But this is a bust right guys? Lol
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Source? Why did theu split Montco E and W lol? Never saw that why not just all of Montco?
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2020/2021 OBS Thread
Ralph Wiggum replied to Rtd208's topic in Philadelphia Region
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2020/2021 OBS Thread
Ralph Wiggum replied to Rtd208's topic in Philadelphia Region
CMC has 95% of PA below zero morning of the 9th with a massive overrunning event taking shape over the S Plains headed this way. All conjecture at this point but winter is far from over and Feb looks like plenty of trackable events thru at least VD. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2020/2021 OBS Thread
Ralph Wiggum replied to Rtd208's topic in Philadelphia Region
ICON looks closer with next Sunday-Monday. GFS 12z much better with the PNA ridge and sharper amplification. Might be a legit trackable event setting up. -
It never fails....every time. Imma head out now and be back in a few hrs. Have fun listening to how this isn't the perfect storm with wall to wall snow and 4'
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Bingo. This has played out like most mesos showed. WAA bonus snows yesterday, lull overnight into morning with sleet push to southern LV. Now if mesos are right should be all snow everywhere E PA by 1130AM latest. Then the heaviest snows 1-7pm.
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Radar returns confirm that map. See my post in the obs thread with this map:
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Those purple returns stall over Central Bucks for about 4 straight hours after 12pm.
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I know it is nowcast time but the RGEM is a beatdown!
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I would be more concerned with the heavier stuff reaching your area out in Lancaster Co more than sleet tbh.
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Purple outline is setting up to be the heaviest area of precip next many hrs. I outlined in red the area of subsidence with very light returns or nada....very common.
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It will. Within 45 mins. Eta: and as I hit the submit reply button we are now mixing with large flakes
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All models have been showing by 10:00-10:30ish consistently....at least the mesos were
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A good chunk of that in extreme SE PA is sleet. Should still see another 5-10" snow this afternoon for most down this way on top of the 6" already on the ground here.
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Heavy sleet here. 28F
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HRRR as usual 2 steps behind but if the widespread 8-16" on the HRRR is just catching on the NAM may score the late coup
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Pinpoint nailed it
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Check out the convergence happening from about Delco n to Upper Bucks and easy to just across the river. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?parms=DOX-N0Q-1-24-100-usa-rad
