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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. UKMET is a big hit on Tuesday. Cache cleared, that is legit.
  2. I told you not to bet against the GFS cutter trending to colder coastal tendency this season. I wouldn't be surprised to see the PV squash the entire thing under us and be mostly snow by gametime, but we'll see. The PV is moving into prime location in SE Canada. This was the system you have been eyeing for a week. Dont fold on it now dude.
  3. GFS has shown cutters at this range since early Dec only to have the systems flatter and under us as lead times lessen. I expect pretty much the same this week. Lots of mixing probably that hangs on longer than forecast. Im not seeing any torch etc.
  4. is the other forum free or a pay site? May have to check it out.
  5. Advisories. The purples looked the same. With that said im assuming WSWatches may be considered with the afternoon/evening package.
  6. Don't know if it was posted....ICON good bump N too. Trend seems legit not surprisingly.
  7. NAM is hellbent on a sleet to snow storm this weekend fwiw.
  8. It was a big enough bump with 18 hrs left to warrant a double take. Eta: the other feature which supports the shift is DC went from all snow yesterday to snow/sleet, to mostly sleet to rain now. I feel for that area honestly.
  9. I'm not as vested in qpf as I am upper features shifting. Overunning will juice up as it nears. 2-4" seems reasonable.
  10. NAM ticked N again. Looking at isobars etc everything has consistently been nudging N. Better surface reflection.
  11. Had glaciers for weeks...probably closer to 2 months tbh. Ice on ice on snow on ice on ice. Insane winter.
  12. I honestly wouldn't be surprised. And while models are waffling all over the place next week, this could be our last clean flush hit for the region for a while. Enjoy every single flake.
  13. Euro ticked N finally has accumulating snow here. With everything still ticking N this feels like one of those surprises coming where guidance is shifting N right up to the start and never really depicts the true N adjustments until it is snowing outside. Not going to be a massive system by any means but I can see areas that have been getting shafted ( @Animal) getting a nice treat here.
  14. Wrong thread but a low is about to pop near Hatteras. Im loving the trend and look of this weekend threat across guidance!
  15. NAM is going to tease towards end of run....
  16. 2nd wave ticked N again. Snow almost to the MD/PA border this run. I'd be thrilled with mood flakes from that wave 2...which the NAM says is out by Friday morning.
  17. Not the worst snowmap I've ever seen. Heck, we would have killed for this the past few years.
  18. I'm going to guess Thursday ends up a general 1-3"/2-4" event with less North more South rule. Will be a nice snowpack refresh for some. Still not quite sure what to think of the Friday wave. Doesn't seem it wants to amp and overspread the region but we should have a better idea by 12z-18z tomorrow.
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