We have the euro and almost every other model still not giving up on SE PA while the NAM seems to be lost in space. I dont trust the hrrr and haven't given it an ounce of weight in this type of situation. Yes the NAM shows a way we could fail but with so much other data insisting on a big E and SE PA hit it is just hard to think the NAM is correct. The hits are getting stronger yet the NAM miss is getting wider. Either setting up a massive massive fail by every other model or the NAM is just having a tough time here. Guess we find out in about 15 hrs.
I think Roger Smith is trolling us....can't be certain. He is pretty well-respected but those numbers seems astronomically absurd. Even Kuchera would chuckle.
Already told my wife that tomorrow will be nervewracking and do not disturb me, look my way, wink, nod, move, breathe, etc between 5am and 10am. That is now cast crunch time. Funny thing is....she honestly gets it and gets me.
Well thats the 6z for starters. And secondly you've been around and know as well as anyone the SLR ratio maps are usually much closer to the truth than the over inflated Kuchera maps.