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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Ralph Wiggum
    18z rgem is a fair amount colder with a more pronounced offshore low causing an increase in CAA between waves and thus keeping the colder temp locked in a few hours longer tomorrow AM in extreme SE PA. Going to be a long night.
  2. Ralph Wiggum
    Flurries in Ivyland 30F
  3. Ralph Wiggum
    18z rgem and latest wrfs are brrrrrrrr.
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    You guys at Mt Holly are tops in the biz... not even close. Probably the most diverse region in the US to forecast for. Majority of us truly appreciate what you folks do over at the NWS. Thank you!
  5. Ralph Wiggum
    100%
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    That is an icy mauling, wow
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    NAM doesn't look like it is going to do the dry slot thing this run. Focus is more S. ETA: still slots S PA but notable move S with several features
  8. Ralph Wiggum
    Been ice fishing Churchville up until a few days ago. Ty for the invite.
  9. Ralph Wiggum
    Watch the NAM score the win with this one
  10. Ralph Wiggum
    ICON (sucks) came in warmer. Non-event for extreme SE PA counties
  11. Ralph Wiggum
    I feel good that my area will not be too bad, but N and W of Doylestown.....yeahhhh
  12. Ralph Wiggum
    NAM coming in colder and also back to the 2 wave idea with the weakness off the Mid Atl coast causing wind vectors to take on a slight Northerly component locking in low level cold. Going to get messy folks.
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    ^^^Doubling down. Those that are certain icing isn't an issue this time of year only need to go back a couple of years in mid March. I assure you, it can happen.
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    S NJ wasn't ever really in the threat zone, so yeah down that way should be ok. It is N and W of I95 that is the issue attm
  15. Ralph Wiggum
    N and W is in trouble imho....especially up in the LV and Poconos
  16. Ralph Wiggum
    He's the Ji of this subforum
  17. Ralph Wiggum
    Yep, looking more like frozen ending briefly as light rain/drizzle before dryslotting as other guidance is beginning to also show. Pretty typical look around these parts tbh.
  18. Ralph Wiggum
    .54" freezing rain here on the Euro? Likely doesn't verify imby, but clear signal N and W for a significant impact winter event. I wonder if that one guy that is putting preemergent on his grass still thinks this is hype and will be a big nothing burger
  19. Ralph Wiggum
    GFS and mesos continue to inch colder. 6z GFS only flips briefly to rain before ending here now. Euro similar and slightly colder. NaM is lost.
  20. Ralph Wiggum
    Notable adjustments S with the CAA. Here are the last 4 GFS runs adjusting colder:
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    Euro is trending quicker with the jump. 1010 and already well into the process of transferring the low to the frontrunner wave bagginess that hangs off the DelMarVa. That piece the NAM is keying on is critical in locking in low level cold with some northerly wind vectors...tho some other higher res stuff has this feature also.
  22. Ralph Wiggum
    GFS also trended colder. Have a feeling the NAM is likely overdone as usual but probably has the right general idea. Expect guidance to continue hammering on the CAD as we get nearer. Different than other recent systems that went the opposite at this range.
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    18z rgem came in slightly colder at the surface
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    18z NAM is a disaster....if you like colder, snowier, then icier Thursday before flipping Friday
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    They know how these go this time of year. Congrats Boston.
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