The fact the euro is the southern outlier and given its less than stellar track record AND with the NAM being consistent with the sleet/ice look, we shouldn't write the NAM off nor the warmer solutions. It certainly has some merit in that solution.
I honestly think this is a nice thump to mix to dry slot for most of us with rain/mixing in the usual.areas as this ticks back N. I could actually see the 12z rgem as a very realistic solution.
Euro is trash at this range this season. Euro H5 also screams Norther. Probably will honk long enough to suck the more southern forums in before jogging N in 48 hrs and giving us slop.
Agreed on Tuesday DAY....but Monday evening thru sunup Tuesday will be bad. The damage will be done. Especially N and W. Models coming in juicier also now.
I would monitor the NWS forecasts. They are the professionals. I think the hobbyists here have stated the most obvious tho that there is growing concern N and W. Wait and see what the actual zone forecasts look like for your area is my suggestion. And as always better to be prepared than not.