Ralph Wiggum
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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum
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This may be the only post you've ever made that I agree with.
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Don't tell the Euro. Exactly the opposite. Early fall warmth after next weekend. Model mayhem.
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Yes on the backside it appears. The euro is also the strongest and farthest under the region with the disturbance. Good to see things tracking under us with ridging up top. Take that as a positive this early on.
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First flakes of the season around the region should fly centered around Nov 16 give or take a day on either side. Powerful cold front passes thru next weekend with a followup wave on its heels passing South of the region with cold air in place. All 3 major global models have it. Temps marginal given the time of year especially in the lower lying areas. Elevation snows a better possibility with wet flakes mixing/white rain possible outside of the higher elevations. Let the tracking begin.
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Weenie run on the 12z gfs. Well, relatively speaking for mid November. Cold and mixed precip locked in after the 14th.
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Is this the latest the SE portions of this region have gone without a frost? I dont ever remember NOT having a frost before November.
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Yet in 8 weeks you guys will probably be venting about the early heating bills. Take the nice weather for what it is.
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"Cool" for Halloween is fine. Cold, not so much. This normal to even AN October so far coupled with the same outlook for at least the next 2 weeks bodes well for winter. I have compiled quite a bit of data for the upcoming winter outlook which I will delve into later in the month. Anyone watching the expanse and depth of snow-cover in Siberia and N Mongolia?
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Heaviest rain of the event right now. This is impressive for a Gulf of Mexico rotting TC irt effects in this area.- 487 replies
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I'm going to say yes. The telltale sign for me are the trees with no leaves remaining on them. Classic ef4 signature.
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I'm 2 blocks up from little Neshaminy and it is well over Bristol Road and encroaching on my home slowly. Never saw it this high since I've lived here.
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Thank you for posting. Location?
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Bigtime flooding here. Backyard is a swamp, neighbor house taking on water. Bristol road is a river
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Summer living like a hermit... counting wooly caterpillar hairs, tracking tradewinds variations, and preparing for a very cold winter as I crochet extra afghan blankets, cut firewood, and skin local Buffalo for warm hide.
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See me above post. Spotted it with debris not far West of Ivyland.
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Saw a tornado just to my west traveling NE about 15 mins ago. Took shelter in basement. I am in Warminster....Ivyland to be exact. Based on location assuming it went thru Warrington, Hartsville, Jamison area. Definitely debris with it.
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RI is a tiny piece of beach front real estate. Takes the right trajectory to get a LF tc there. With that said, anyone know the last time RI had a LF from a tc?
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Ridging out ahead of Henri from Bermuda extending towards Maine continues to strengthen as time goes on. Clearly is one of the features keeping the storm from exiting very quickly.
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6z guidance from NAM to RGEM to hurricane guidance all well West and really closing in on a LI hit now but the trend farther S and W each run continues. Even gets banding deep into SEPA now as it pivots.
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Lightning all around here.
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GFS is either going score a massive victory this week over the hurricane guidance or be put to shame again in typical USA model fashion.
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I'm not hibernating. I lurk all year. I only really post in the winter tho. And this BN temp stretch shouldn't be a shock given the blocking pattern that wants to lock-in as per ens means. This is great grass-growing wx for my newly planted seed!