Ralph Wiggum

Crazy part is, now the LV is in the heavier band on some guidance and for some, this *could* be the largest event of the season.

Models continue to tick N and W. HRRR still making moves. Close enough now that coastal development may even creep into SE PA aside from the jet enhanced stuff.

Maybe I'm reading/seeing things wrong, but sure seems like SE PA is backing into a sneaky little surprise event at the last minute. These models barely gave us a trace yesterday now some guidance as high as 6" with the stripe of banding.....and guidance is increasing rather than going the opposite way for a change. I'm with @The Iceman.....2" wet snow is a win....an epic win.

Is 18 hours out ok to be in the bullseye? Asking for a friend.

Latest HRRR and HRDPS doubled down for SE PA!

We've made threads for flizzards before, so yes I agree...desperate times call for desperate measures.

I made a thread because y'all are snoozing on the job

Since this quest has apparently been a success, can the next quest be in search of the Holy Grail? I'm quite certain this group can do better than Monty Python......then again, maybe not.

12z HRRR has my area bullseyed with a 4" isolated max. I think I would be content with a half inch of slush tbh given the recent warmth and the LR close the blinds pattern coming up.

Late season Wiggum Rule in effect after hitting 61 yesterday and forecast of 63F today. Flakes should be flying in the area by Sunday AM. See other thread for discussion:

Models coming in juicier and farther N and W. Starting to look like after low 60s today, arctic front plows thru later with plummeting temps and a mix of rain and snow breaking out by midnight or shortly after. Coating to an inch in most spots, mostly on grass/cars. So heavier bursts over extreme SE PA with some isolated spots seeing up to 2 or 3".

So what you're saying is that we really just can't know?

You probably didnt even check No need to, they perform the same hype fail just prior to every single winter event.

Just hit 61F in Ivyland. What a February day!

59F in Ivyland.

GFS clearly didn't understand the assignment. Once some of us began dubbing the GFS the new King, the pressure to perform must have gotten to it because it fell right back to the bottom of the pack as the most unreliable global model.

Sixers gave up too much in the trade. Ben, Curry, Drummond and 2 picks for Harden and Millsap. I dunno....they did add 2 very experienced veteran players that are still hungry to a young team that needed veteran leadership in the playoffs. But they lost a solid rebound guy in Drummond

Again, agreed

From a Philadelphian, I respectfully agree

At least we have the traditional cold and gloomy April pattern that we've all grown accustomed to showing on the CFS:

I was going to say a Wiggum watch is in order with temps approaching 60 next couple of days but we are entering the end of the research dates where the percentages begin to drop significantly. For those thay dont know i have an ongoing independent study since 2007 which indicates a 94.3% chance that when the temp hits 60 in my area between Dec 28 and Feb 10 the same area sees snowflakes of some sort (a storm, flurries, a mix etc) within 5 days following the recorded 60 degree temp.Would certainly make sense if we saw a few snowflakes Sunday after kissing 60 the next couple of days.

Scorching summer, handful of 100 degree days and many mid upper 90s. Hope u r ready. This will be the sacrifice we endure for the epic winter coming in 2022-2023. Mark it down and lock it up.

Thank you....not all heroes wear capes

Bring on severe season....I surrender