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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Ralph Wiggum
    It finally caved eh?
  2. Ralph Wiggum
    You can see the flow beginning to back off the Atlantic and precip filling near NC. Even SE of DC beginning to expand. More folks should start seeing sun break thru up here as the cold front is now being absorbed by the developing coastal low well to our S.
  3. Ralph Wiggum
    Getting crushed here with -SN 1.5" so far, 31F, no melt. Everything covered except on the main road they had previously brined.
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    Oh no you di'nt
  5. Ralph Wiggum
    NAMs ticked East but probably just noise at this point. Probably now cast time not expecting major changes.
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    Modetate snow now. Coating. 27F
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    He has stock in them glizzies
  8. Ralph Wiggum
    All surfaces are white here in Ivyland. Nice band over us setting up shop. Both vehicles went in the shop this AM. Dead battery on one, deal oil pump on the other. Murphy's Law.
  9. Ralph Wiggum
    But that wind On a serious note, wind may damage dendritic plates and pack snow depth, but in the LE gauge it still amounts to the same amount of snowfall wind or not.. 15:1 should be common especially as temps continue to drop to around 20 overnight near the peak of the event. Eta: the 20:1 that chris sauers is stating probably not so much...that seems extreme
  10. Ralph Wiggum
    And the Hrrr, RGEM and GFS ticked East
  11. Ralph Wiggum
    Location, location, location. Tuck job. Little different than when the NAM and Euro had this kissing Bermuda 2 days ago. What a turn of events!!!
  12. Ralph Wiggum
    I'm not watching the low trend west. I've been watching the convection and heaviest banding moving west and expanding over the last 18 hours. Alot is in response to how quickly this will deepen. When these stack and occlude there is a natural tendency to tug the low left of center which is why we are seeing a tuck on the mesos. This is only like 20 miles now from the benchmark for extreme E PA areas and points S and E.
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    0z starting off spectacular. Im sure the gfs will be in soon to buck the trend.
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    Not cool Oh wow
  15. Ralph Wiggum
    This better not be another Lucy. Seems like far E PA might be catching a rare late break headed into this storm. This time a day and a half ago I was barely expecting a coating from the PRE or whatever we r calling it starting in the AM with the Saturday coastal just grazing. Now things are getting interesting. Iceman might be in for a surprise?
  16. Ralph Wiggum
    2m Temps during height of the storm:
  17. Ralph Wiggum
    Needles at these temps. We aren't talking mangled flakes and plates. https://www.its.caltech.edu/~atomic/snowcrystals/class/class-old.htm
  18. Ralph Wiggum
    Some of you guys aren't familiar with how a coastal works and it shows. The coastal points see the gale winds...and higher elevations in E PA. But these are 10m winds during the height of the snowfall here in SE PA. 17knots max near my area? We get out best winds when the damage is done and the snow has mostly moved out: Winds won't knock down the totals as much as 20 degree temps will fluff up the accums in the Del Valley.
  19. Ralph Wiggum
    5-10" Philly...probably.closer to the lower end but giving some wiggle room for another bump west.
  20. Ralph Wiggum
    I dont like Kucera but they may be closer to reality this time around due to the high ratios in E PA
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    Should be 15-18:1 Action News actually suggested 20:1 ratios. They said colder n and west in upper teens so even if lighter precip will pile up fast.
  22. Ralph Wiggum
    I will take that 10" of fluff and run like hell
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    I thought the low was consistent in placement. Biggest diff is it bombs very early on.
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    So all of the models are basically wrong and the low should be closer to the coast because of convective feedback issues. K, got it...thanks for the hot take y'all
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    Not when you're the King... that's peasant play
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