Ralph Wiggum
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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2022-2023 OBS Thread
Ralph Wiggum replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
Luckily analogs with this type of blocking have it a base state all winter. It is still wayyyy early. But yes, in a few weeks with climo peaking we should be golden -
Gardner Minshew is pretty darn respectable bro
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This just flew over. Hopefully for the game. Otherwise, take cover asap
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I've had pretty good success "buying points" which obviously changes the odds and is essentially another form of teaser/parlay. 3-leg parlays using alternate spreads and alternate points have been my bread and butter past 2 years and have kept me in positive net units. I dont wager too much, just for fun so every so often i will drop $1-$5 on a 5-leg parlay. Biggest i hit last spring was $1 to win $742.
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New thread is up for winter....delayed but not denied https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/58525-e-panjde-winter-2022-2023-obs-thread/
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High lat blocking showing up and showing little sign of going anywhere anytime soon. Should see the first 'legit threat' between the 10th and 20th. PNA is negative which isnt great but CPC has it going neutral/slight positive by mid month.
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Under all day. This is the game he goes out "hurt". They have a bounty on him. Hope im wrong.
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It's watching us!
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The eye in the sky is watching us Eta: in all seriousness that wouldnt be a terrible setup...i'd roll the dice with it
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Stayed away from that one. Played a teaser instead which i usually hate but just a dime...titans +8 / bengals +7.5 odds at +114
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Taking the under. There's a reason that line is lower than it should be.
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Good test coming. Entering at least what used to be the euro wheelhouse. Lets see if it holds and others move to it or it slowly starts moving towards the other guidance. 5 days out now which isnt an eternity.
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PNA is negative phase. Needs to move towards neutral or positive to counter the huge NAO block and allow for CAA and not stale cold. This could work in Jan/Feb but not early/mid Dec. Sst's in the Atlantic dont help but less of an influence than having a cold air source via the PNA+ Eta: also, this is an op at range. Better off using the ens means imho
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Wut? This is actually finally moving up in time it appears. Was day 13 now day 10. EPS are gold bro, chill:
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Oh wow thats a major signal for disruption to the SPV. Dont normally see a complete split like that depiction.
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Love the storm on the 12z gfs tracking from Lake Erie SE to Bermuda. Minor change from 6z
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Gio finally in ffs
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Not 'every' winter. Dont speak in absolutes. But sure I play things cautiously. I wouldnt call it pessimism. But Ninas require alot of patience especially wrt the SER. There really is no getting around that. This isnt a shut the blinds pattern either....but I guess you skipped the part where I mentioned this incessantly too?
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Geez, did you cancel winter already too? Have faith win or lose
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USA or draw jumped to +215....all-in
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USA +1.5 regular time should be a lock but -390 ugh. USA or tie at -110 seems too easy Decisions decisions
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This eggnog at 930am on a saturday is hitting different.
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LFG!!
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Probably not. But there have been times when it happened...when some oddity like the MJO or rogue Rosby Wave behavior or a SSWE mucks things up. Let's remain cautiously optimistic.....and patient of course.
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Aaaannnndd thats enough internet for me for the day:
