Ralph Wiggum

Too warm. Mesos picking up on this. Maybe a few mangled flakes in extreme SE PA

Things change. Phases happen. Some last decades. Like ppl are saying, assume it will never snow another flake in your life. Sad reality, it may not. Any one of us could drop dead tomorrow. Don't wallow over such things you don't have control over. I want a half billion dollars so I never have to work another day....so I play the mega millions periodically. The odds are I won't even get a single number right. Odds are I will never win. But I don't sulk and whine about it when I lose. If you don't expect to win you never really lose. Wow, that's a cool quote I just said. Maybe I can copyright it for royalties and make a half billion $$.:

And there are ppl here who are mets and hobbyists and absolutely loathe the cold and snow. So when we enter a period in a year or so where it's wall to wall cold and storms do we all just stop posting about the cold stats in fear their feelings might get hurt? You can't please everyone. I don't want you to take this the wrong way, but this is a public weather forum. If you or anyone else here gets upset by scientific stats, you probably shouldn't be here tbh.

The icon disagrees

It also took our snow away for tomorrow night...puts SE PA in the screw zone soooo we toss this run

The 2016 map I posted was sort of a joke. It nailed the blizzard in 2016 but if you look at the prog it was actually about 5 days early with it the model still sucks it was never really good.

It was just 120 hours early on that prog lol re 2016

As was 96 overall...8 days lead time. Just shifted N at the last 36 hours.

If they ever create a time machine before we pass, we need to have an amwx gathering for a Jebwalk during every one of these.

So if life expectancy is about 70 years, give or take, and 1979 was 44 years ago, how have we gotten 7 or 8 "once in a lifetime" storms? Now 1993....THAT is a once in a lifetime event.

And the snow would be confined to a 7 mile wide swath on the NW side.

Ahh memories. Remember when the GFS was a good model and could nail a storm 10 days out?

I swear this model was better 7 years ago. Not bad for a 10-day forecast. Absolutely nailed it:

Had a 5 min sleet squall earlier in Blue Bell

Hmmm, 18z is a thump to rain late week.

This will be the 3rd time so far since Dec 1 that the LR to 7 days+ showed a major coastal low that ended up being a fropa. Also the 3rd time the 50/50 failed. Atmospheric memory is a real thing.

There is even rain/mix into S Central Canada from a separate wave. That is insanity!

CFS says Feb will be rocking!

GEFS individual members have quite a few solid hits for our area for the late week system. Alas, the GEFS have not performed well at all lately.

Yep, posted this map yesterday and just posted the update above. Don't give up.

Has the cfs been right this winter. Seems like its always cold and snow Quite the contrary it is almost always warm.

CFS says remain patient. Plenty more chances especially into late Jan and Feb

Deathband on the rgem ftw

Sooooo yeah, about that biggest snowfall of the season overnight Sunday into Monday