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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Ralph Wiggum
    Some dude in NY said one and done this year early Feb. Maybe this is setting up for it?
  2. Ralph Wiggum
  3. Ralph Wiggum
    West Coast ridge axis displaced too far to the left... WAR not going to make any friends either
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    There is a threat window around the 23rd still but temps probably still an issue. Maybe we can at least get a Feb 83 or Jan 16 event....one and done....before we exit stage left
  5. Ralph Wiggum
    Couldn't agree more Paul.
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    FYP
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    Pretty sure that's right where we want it at this range. Oh wait (flips frantically thru weenie handbook) nevermind.
  8. Ralph Wiggum
    But is is stable? We need stability in here dammit!!
  9. Ralph Wiggum
    What phase is the current WDI?
  10. Ralph Wiggum
    Well, it's 3rd and 35 still. Need a bigtime play over the next 2 weeks. If not, then we decide what to do on 4th down as Feb begins. Let's take that timeout and talk things over.
  11. Ralph Wiggum
    I mean, we have the gfs tracking cyclones due west from Bermuda so nothing surprises me
  12. Ralph Wiggum
    This will trend S for all of us to cash in. Jan 23rd is the center of another brief(?) window.
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    Just need this ^^^ threat window to hold thru Jan 15 so we can keep @RedSky from punting. I think he said the 15th was his punt date if no trackable events on the models. Hang in there. The windows arent big but there will be some possibilities here and there after mid month.
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    LFG!!
  15. Ralph Wiggum
    Winter 2022-23.... the year that made 1997-98 look like Antarctica in the Eastern US.
  16. Ralph Wiggum
    CFS just shit the bed for our February month of winter and cold redemption. However there is hope....it now says March is going to feature BN temps and a workable longwave pattern.
  17. Ralph Wiggum
    Beggars can't be choosers but if this season has taught us anything so far it's that too much of a good thing isnt always good. No avocado tracking.....not again please
  18. Ralph Wiggum
    Well, this year has behaved more like a Nino than a Nina, so we have that going for us as we enter deep winter. Whether or not that means Nina flexes it's muscle and we torch in Feb is tbd...but this has been a very strange year wrt enso analog behaviors. I mean, have any major cities from DC-Portland, ME recorded more than a few inches of snow? If that? This can't last forever and eventually it's going to flip for the better.
  19. Ralph Wiggum
    I mean, he's not wrong either....tho the longwave pattern from day 7-12 looks essentially the same on all ens, so the progression probably has legs this go round.
  20. Ralph Wiggum
    It started already sir. Was a grueling 2 weeks tho. Now get some skin on them bones....gonna need the insulation soon.
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    Exactly. Clear signal for a big time pattern shift across guidance. Pattern progressing as expected mimicking last 2 months' pattern evolution. Won't be long after mid month...buckle up.
  22. Ralph Wiggum
    Don't even
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    Agreed. This one doesn't look like a head fake. Funny thing is the ens lost it for a few days in unison. Then brought it back essentially the same time period. Funny how that works.
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    The most important step imo. I wouldn't bother looking beyond the cold air establishing tbh. Baby steps.
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    Just jumped on briefly....at work. What's this I missed we have to root for models verbatim now? Ffs let's get the cold air source reestablished then get it into the lower 48 first and foremost. Could care less if it has staying power, if it doesn't look perfect, etc. Ingredient 1....cold...the thing we've been lacking. LFG!
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