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Jersey Andrew

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Everything posted by Jersey Andrew

  1. Jersey Andrew
    Maybe next year if Super Nino develops we can see a 1983 or 2016 type storm.
  2. Jersey Andrew
    Is this a pattern where we can pull off a February 1983 type storm?
  3. Jersey Andrew
    Wasn’t that-PNA responsible for destroying what was supposed to be an epic February last year? Who knows if you can trust long range modeling.
  4. Jersey Andrew
    A lot of people in here thought February was setting up for a 2010 redux especially with long stretch of brutal cold. Will we really waste the month if PV suppresses everything to the south?
  5. Jersey Andrew
    Went back and look turns out it was February 1979 leading into PDI storm
  6. Jersey Andrew
    When is the last time DC had consecutive week of highs below 30?
  7. Jersey Andrew
    It got 2/12/06 right so you never know.
  8. Jersey Andrew
    How brutal will travel be this week DMV?
  9. Jersey Andrew
    That’s a massive snowfall for NYC and northern Nj. Does it account for sleet or fit the atmospheric conditions, storm path?
  10. Jersey Andrew
    Are these short term models like HRRR and RAP based on NAM or GFS?
  11. Jersey Andrew
    You don’t believe those higher totals do you? I’m afraid the NAM is right here and DC metro is 4-6. Hope I’m wrong.
  12. Jersey Andrew
    Tremendous storm with thundersnow. NOVA had one inch of snow in afternoon and I thought storm was a bust until lightning strike at 12:15a.m. And waking up to foot of snow and tree across the driveway.
  13. Jersey Andrew
    I worry about the twin ice storms of January 1994 repeating history. Our driveway was a skating rink back then.
  14. Jersey Andrew
    If all the models lined up in unison, it would be no fun. This is the great chase for 2010,2016, or Knickerbocker redux. The fact we have pulled off some monsters in our lifetime makes it more interesting to follow.
  15. Jersey Andrew
    Does this storm look like PDII type snowfall, sleet,ZR distribution areawide?
  16. Jersey Andrew
    How does this model differ from regular Euro?
  17. Jersey Andrew
    What about DC metro mixing over to sleet then back to snow? Still think this storm will be similar to PDII in that way.
  18. Jersey Andrew
    Never thought anything could eclipse 1996 in DC area and then 2010 and 2016 blew past it. Bob Ryan led the charge with 20-30” forecast in 1996. That was really the first Internet storm with SNONUT and PTRAVEL on the dial up discussion boards.
  19. Jersey Andrew
    Were Feb. 2010 and January 2016 easier patterns to produce huge storms? Did the guidance ever waver for those two?
  20. Jersey Andrew
    Yes we are here for the big chase. The next 1/23/2016 or 2/12/2006 or myriad of other huge storms. The past 20 years have produced monsters on East Coast. Just because we are in a 5 year drought does not mean cannot pull off miracle.
  21. Jersey Andrew
    Boxing Day Blizzard was an amazing storm to track. I was on NJ Transit train with my laptop when midday GFS came out and showed NYC snowstorm after other models were out to sea. Everyone on weather boards was in disbelief until Euro Dr. No said YES. We missed out on Feb. 6,2010 when my parents in NOVA were socked with 30 inches of snow. As much as we complain, NYC has seen some monster storms in last 20 years.
  22. Jersey Andrew
    Stunning changes to say the least. What is causing such large discrepancies?
  23. Jersey Andrew
    I was up in northern Jersey at the time and still remember GFS bringing it back two days before Boxing Day. Let’s say 12/26/10 made up for 2/5/10 in NYC.
  24. Jersey Andrew
    The one time I was rooting against snow. Scheduled to take 9am bus from Vienna up to NYC tomorrow morning to celebrate my birthday this weekend.
  25. Jersey Andrew
    Is this more a Mid-Atlantic threat in your opinion or Northeast too?
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