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CT Rain

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CT Rain

  1. CT Rain
    I didn't. I had one ready to go and pulled it right before the 4.
  2. CT Rain
    Yeah that's a pretty good jump west on the EPS. Didn't expect to see that at all.
  3. CT Rain
    Over/Under for Tolland? 3"?
  4. CT Rain
    I'll be joining them.
  5. CT Rain
    Yeah. If you look at the EPS/GEFS/GEPS there's still a lot of spread here. The EPS is definitely a western outlier. They're all underdispersive but when taken together you can get somewhere.
  6. CT Rain
    Yeah it seemed as if the spread decreased quite a bit on the 18z GEFS. I probably wouldn't have minded seeing more spread/uncertainty given how crappy they are now.
  7. CT Rain
    Ha. Chris is great but I dunno... I don't think the GEFS look very good at all to me. They are waaaaaay offshore.
  8. CT Rain
    Woof. That need A LOT of work.
  9. CT Rain
    Canadian ensembles. Woof.
  10. CT Rain
    First cut of snow totals I have is 3-6 west of I-91 and 6-12 east of I-91. I've got 12+ inside 495 and most of RI.
  11. CT Rain
    Yeah that low could be spurious to the NE but I'm not sure it makes a whole lot of difference for the outcome in SNE.
  12. CT Rain
    Yeah the Euro definitely has a weird evolutuion with that surface low racing NE with the convection. Not sure it makes a huge difference. Also it still closes off the 700mb low pretty early.
  13. CT Rain
    Yeah may actually wind up a touch better than 6z. Great for E Mass. Would have preferred to see a much bigger jump west though.
  14. CT Rain
    RGEM is east but at least it's not a shut out lol Not too far from the GFS
  15. CT Rain
    A crusher here. It also closes off the mid levels early... that's great for NJ and NYC too.
  16. CT Rain
    Yup... that would be good
  17. CT Rain
    I think the GEFS and the UK being so far offshore (plus a fairly far east NAM) definitely are red flags today. Want to see some sizable jumps toward the Euro. My gut is a Euro-esque solution is more likely but need some 12z jumps. The Euro isn't quite the king it once was.
  18. CT Rain
    Yeah GGEM looks tucked
  19. CT Rain
    Maybe a bit east with the trough axis too? Anyway if that verifies I'll absolutely lose it.
  20. CT Rain
    Came east a bit. Not great but not a huge change from 18z.
  21. CT Rain
    GFS looks a bit worse to me.
  22. CT Rain
    It's also quite slow compared to the Euro.... and has slowed down from 18z.
  23. CT Rain
    The NAM would be fun.
  24. CT Rain
    Yeah seems slower. I think the op run was too. More along track spread/changes from 12z than a shift east or west.
  25. CT Rain
    The whole thing looked a smidge slower too. Maybe an hour or two slower with the H5 evolution?
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