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CT Rain

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CT Rain

  1. CT Rain
    Enjoy the pingers on the Pike. Kevin gets his damaging ice storm here.
  2. CT Rain
    Yeah who knows. It's had a decent winter so have to keep an eye on it I guess.
  3. CT Rain
    Whoa GFS. What a mess that would be.
  4. CT Rain
    To illustrate the uncertainty for the Friday deal... the NBM 25th and 75th percentile high temperature forecast for BDL is 30F and 48F lol
  5. CT Rain
    The Euro/GFS have totally different evolutions in the northern stream and where to set up the confluence. To Will's point the high on the GFS is able to develop over QC with enhanced confluence at H5... while the Euro is far more amplified with the jet and the entire thing goes north and the high never presses into New England. Tough forecast.
  6. CT Rain
    Was thinking the same thing. That high to the north is a beaut.
  7. CT Rain
    Coop observer in Staffordville
  8. CT Rain
    Yeah Steve is getting croaked.
  9. CT Rain
    Posted for no particular reason and without comment.
  10. CT Rain
    Every storm.
  11. CT Rain
    We are actually!
  12. CT Rain
    There are a lot of people in CT expecting 2 feet. I think they'll be a bit disappointed lol
  13. CT Rain
    Always looked a lot better out your way
  14. CT Rain
    Well 8-12" isnt nothing.
  15. CT Rain
  16. CT Rain
    It's probably using SLRs that are a bit too high and it is time lagged so that crazy ARW run from 12z is in there.
  17. CT Rain
    That H7 low is pretty enlongated on the NAM. Sort of a weird look. The Queens will be disappointed though... only like 0.8"-1.0" QPF for Hartford County.
  18. CT Rain
    NAM looks really good I think. It consolidates things in time. Looks pretty hellacious for many. Still on the fence back here but H7/H5 low tracks look good for 10 or 12" of mid level magic around Hartford.
  19. CT Rain
    RAP looks a bit better comparing 21z to 00z. A bit farther west with mid level features.
  20. CT Rain
    HRRR definitely looks better with the surface low consolidating a better just east of the elbow.
  21. CT Rain
    Loving the Euro. Let's do this.
  22. CT Rain
    This also looks a lot better for E Mass/Boston than back this way so I think it's an easier call out that way.
  23. CT Rain
    I do think leading up to these storms the NWS/TV have a hard time sort of resetting when there's a trend toward a bust or more caution flags as the event nears. Ramping up is easy but no one wants to back down. After all the trends today this does not look like the same storm I was expecting when I went today... but you wouldn't know that from watching TV or reading that BOX AFD. I could definitely be wrong but there are far more caution flags right now than things that make me super stoked.
  24. CT Rain
    It is strange to see a lot of the TV people ramping up and the BOX AFD bordering on Armageddon. I don't really see it after the 12z runs and the data since - particularly in the Hartford area. Running with a 12-20" total was just too much for me given the guidance. Even getting more than a foot seems like a challenge at this point. I do like the look for S CT look for a nice burst overnight.
  25. CT Rain
    I've been thinking that.
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