Some caution on Ginx's 4" of sleet and 5" of snow in Tolland. The 3km NAM actually shows very little accumulation through 0z Sunday if you look at positive snow depth change.
Yeah - you can actually see that fairly well on the 3km NAM with the boundary layer chilling quite a bit as the heavier rates come in around 18z. Interesting event for sure,.
Check out the 12z and 18z full res Euro ensemble soundings for Hartford.
Definitely far colder than other models (and maybe freezing drizzle there at the end with dry mid levels).
Maybe - but there's not a ton of cold to the north of us right now. Springfield VT in the valley there is 33/30 and Keene NH is 37/37. Going to take some time. Not like we have a ton of cold just luring north of the Pike to advect in.
There is a big push down the Hudson Valley. Albany is already 28/25 but it's quite a bit milder in S VT at a higher latitude.
Even the global models have picked up on this... pretty impressive.
Tomorrow afternoon is looking sort of gnarly. NAM nest is upper 20s by 18z for N CT with an additional 0.25" of liquid between 18z and 00z. Seems like a pretty nasty glaze/pingers.
A lot of the morning drive we may rot around 33F.
The cold push is looking less and less impressive around here tomorrow morning. Seems like we sort of rot at 32/33F for a while. Definitely not a flash freeze look.