Jump to content

CT Rain

Moderator Meteorologist
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    26,092

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by CT Rain

  1. CT Rain
    Kevin is always excited for a damaging southeaster though.
  2. CT Rain
    We cut.
  3. CT Rain
    Seems like this weekend is a bit of a stretch but man what a tasty pattern D10-D15.
  4. CT Rain
    7.5 in West Hartford melted to 0.50"
  5. CT Rain
    FWIW the HREF members are a bit juicier across SNE at 00z than they were at 12z.
  6. CT Rain
    Oh sorry, I was talking CT. Yeah... still time to get cranking in E Mass especially.
  7. CT Rain
    Seems like the convection is going to be an issue. A bit disappointing to see the RAP/HRRR and the NAM trends but still looks good for 3-6 in many spots in CT.
  8. CT Rain
    I was sort of hyping this afternoon. Definitely hedged high verbally after looking at those model soundings off the GFS/NAM. Hopefully the HRRR is off the mark.
  9. CT Rain
    He's not bad.
  10. CT Rain
    I know. Not really comfortable ditching my 3-6 in Hartford... but a crush/fluff job under that mid level band wouldn't shock me.
  11. CT Rain
    Yes... that has me worried for the Hartford area. Could definitely see a 10" jack in that mid level banding given the MAUL and good snow growth.
  12. CT Rain
    Updated numbers
  13. CT Rain
    Yeah absolutely. What I meant by not a huge impact is you can't look at that SLP spread and think some members are whiffs and 200 miles off ACK and others are tucked in near BID. Definitely a dual low structure which makes those spread graphics a bit more difficult to interpret than a straight synoptic low track question. Given the amount of convection (with intense supercells) the HRRR is blowing up I think the dual low idea is definitely pretty reasonable right now.
  14. CT Rain
    This is definitely an odd look. Can certainly see the EPS struggling with chasing the convection. I actually think even with a really wide spread in those little Ls there's probably not nearly as much spread in the sensible wx impact here. Could certainly see competing lows and a more strung out kind of appearance but the super out to sea solutions are still going to have a weaker low closer to the coast and plenty of snow in SNE.
  15. CT Rain
    The HRRR is ripping supercells over the Gulf Stream. Definitely the reason for the double low and generally unimpressive QPF. Totally disrupts to warm conveyorbelt processes. Meh.
  16. CT Rain
    You can see the RAP closing the H7 low over Long Island Sound. Not a bad look.
  17. CT Rain
    Wouldn't take much to do it with some nice frontogenesis and even a bit of a MAUL. Relatively deep DGZ. When someone gets 0.6" of liquid and 15:1 kinda rates...
  18. CT Rain
    Here's my new map.
  19. CT Rain
    Nice MAUL for Hartford on the GFS. We take.
  20. CT Rain
    The 3km NAM was run from Kevin's basement. Total I-84 weenie jack. Definitely looks like some mid level goodies pretty far NW.
  21. CT Rain
    HRRR coming in hot too with a good bump NW from 18z. Nice start to the 00z suite.
  22. CT Rain
    Pretty sizable jump NW on the EPS.
  23. CT Rain
    Euro is a great run for E Mass. Better back here but almost marginally. Also looks like the H7 low closes a bit earlier and tracks pretty close to the south coast. Definitely better.
  24. CT Rain
    How could I not?
  25. CT Rain
    I don't hate that 700mb low track on the NAM. Explains the QPF max/mid level goodies from HFD to BOS.
×
×
  • Create New...