yoda

Didnt do much... but that was an interesting end to the 00z EURO

The ridge out west is a bit too far west so it allows the SLP to track closer to us.

Pretty impressive that the GFS has been honing in on the Jan 4-6 period for our first "real" winter threat for quite awhile now. 00z GFS continues that tonight Ends up being a rainer for most... but the threat window is there and that's all we can take for now

It's a weird look tbh... 48 hours of precip MD into S PA clean up well

Jan 5/6 storm still there on 18z GFS but the cold push is a bit late with it... so first part is rain, then switches over to snow

Nice 2-4/3-6 event lol

Leesburg is aldie

Yes lol... read @aldie 22 post again and you'll understand

540 line is in SNE

00z CMC looks like some frozen on the 30th as the run ends for parts of the region. 00z GFS has a snowstorm for i95 corridor just after the new year (January 2-3)

000 NWUS51 KLWX 181516 LSRLWX Preliminary Local Storm Report National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1016 AM EST Mon Dec 18 2023 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0908 AM Non-Tstm Wnd Gst Occoquan River 38.64N 77.22W 12/18/2023 M58 mph ANZ536 VA Mesonet && Event Number LWX2303050

06z GFS has some snow chances out in lala land (aka Day 10-15)

Not sure if this is sarcasm, but @WxUSAF is quick

@MN Transplant and @aldie 22 aren't happy as Vikings fans

00z NAM has 60 to 70mph winds along DCA to BWI corridor

https://psl.noaa.gov/enso/difference/ Really cool link - h/t @CoastalWx

Thanks... hadn't seen that before either

May the Force be with us... or maybe, may the odds be ever in your favor?

Well LWX in their afternoon AFD have taken notice .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... A low pressure system is expected to move up the East Coast and bring moderate to heavy rain to our region Sunday and Sunday night. Rain amounts could average an inch or two with isolated higher amounts. Temperatures will reach the middle to upper 40s west of the Blue Ridge with 50s to the east of Blue Ridge. As the primary low moves north along the East Coast Monday and Monday night, a secondary low could develop and follow the first low pressure system. This particular low pressure could bring a chance for snow showers to much of our region Monday night into Tuesday. Highs Monday mainly in the lower to middle 50s with highs Tuesday in the lower 40s with mainly 30s in the mountains. High pressure will bring a period of drier and colder air to the region Wednesday. Highs again on Wednesday could stay in the 40s across the region with 30s in the mountains.

I'm out on this threat

It's great to see you back and posting

DCA - 0.1"

I only see a T on the PNS above... but yeah I see