yoda

12z ICON looks to have nudged north a bit comparing 12z 24 to 06z 30

Give me around an inch and I'm good

11th-12th time period... I believe a few people on here have mentioned that time period as a potential threat

12z NAM has snow breaking out in KS at 84

S MD into C VA win for NAM Twins on 12z suite

Gets some -SN into DC metro by 54... but most of the good stuff is in C VA.

Nice hit for EZF to RIC folk

Pretty decent snow falling at 48 over @Bob Chill

Then put him on Santa naughty list

I'd take a nice covering of the streets and ground. 1-2" would be nice. Anything more - and its a small chance - would be gravy.

We take

UKIE not buying the 12z GFS idea for Monday though

Friday evening "event" still there on the 12z UKIE... more for BR eastward into S MD and C VA tbh though

I was told NAM did the best this morning

I'd take the 12z NAM. Still lightly snowing at the end of the run... nice 1-3"

For Monday. Friday is nothing

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1238 AM EST Mon Dec 1 2025 ...FIRST WIDESPREAD WINTER EVENT OF THE SEASON... .Precipitation is expected to overspread the area after midnight tonight from southwest to northeast. While precipitation is likely to start as snow areawide, it is expected to mix with and change to sleet and freezing rain for most of the area. Locations along and south of US-50/I-66 likely end the event as rain as temperatures warm through the morning. Areas along the Mason-Dixon are most likely to remain all snow through the event, but that remains uncertain given exact low track. The Tuesday morning commute could be impacted for all areas in the Winter Weather Advisory. Updates to the forecast are likely, so please remain weather aware for the first widespread winter event of the season. VAZ025>031-036>040-050-051-501-503>505-507-508-WVZ050-055-502-505- 506-011345- /O.NEW.KLWX.WW.Y.0022.251202T0600Z-251202T1700Z/ Augusta-Rockingham-Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Page-Warren-Clarke- Nelson-Albemarle-Greene-Madison-Rappahannock-Orange-Culpeper- Northern Fauquier-Western Highland-Eastern Highland-Western Loudoun-Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-Central Virginia Blue Ridge- Hampshire-Hardy-Eastern Grant-Western Pendleton-Eastern Pendleton- 1238 AM EST Mon Dec 1 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO NOON EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected, with a majority of the precipitation expected in the form of freezing rain. Total snow and sleet accumulations up to one inch and ice accumulations around one tenth of an inch, with upwards of two tenths of an inch possible on the higher ridges. * WHERE...Portions of central, northern, northwest, and western Virginia and eastern West Virginia. * WHEN...From 1 AM to noon EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Precipitation is expected to overspread the area after after midnight tonight. Precipitation is expected to start briefly as snow before mixing with and changing over to sleet and freezing rain.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1238 AM EST Mon Dec 1 2025 ...FIRST WIDESPREAD WINTER EVENT OF THE SEASON... .Precipitation is expected to overspread the area after midnight tonight from southwest to northeast. While precipitation is likely to start as snow areawide, it is expected to mix with and change to sleet and freezing rain for most of the area. Locations along and south of US-50/I-66 likely end the event as rain as temperatures warm through the morning. Areas along the Mason-Dixon are most likely to remain all snow through the event, but that remains uncertain given exact low track. The Tuesday morning commute could be impacted for all areas in the Winter Weather Advisory. Updates to the forecast are likely, so please remain weather aware for the first widespread winter event of the season. MDZ501-502-509-510-WVZ501-503-504-011345- /O.NEW.KLWX.WW.Y.0022.251202T0600Z-251202T1800Z/ Extreme Western Allegany-Central and Eastern Allegany-Western Garrett-Eastern Garrett-Western Grant-Western Mineral-Eastern Mineral- 1238 AM EST Mon Dec 1 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations between 1 and 3 inches with locally up to 4 inches near the Mason-Dixon. Ice accumulations up to one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...Portions of western Maryland and eastern West Virginia. * WHEN...From 1 AM to 1 PM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions will likely impact the Tuesday morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Precipitation is expected to overspread the area after after midnight tonight. Precipitation is expected to start as snow before mixing with sleet and freezing rain. Should precipitation stay all snow or snow for a longer period of time, locally higher snowfall amounts would be possible. Additional upslope snow showers are expected Tuesday afternoon for locations west of the Allegheny Front which could produce a coating to inch or so of additional accumulation.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1238 AM EST Mon Dec 1 2025 ...FIRST WIDESPREAD WINTER EVENT OF THE SEASON... .Precipitation is expected to overspread the area after midnight tonight from southwest to northeast. While precipitation is likely to start as snow areawide, it is expected to mix with and change to sleet and freezing rain for most of the area. Locations along and south of US-50/I-66 likely end the event as rain as temperatures warm through the morning. Areas along the Mason-Dixon are most likely to remain all snow through the event, but that remains uncertain given exact low track. The Tuesday morning commute could be impacted for all areas in the Winter Weather Advisory. Updates to the forecast are likely, so please remain weather aware for the first widespread winter event of the season. MDZ003>006-507-WVZ051>053-011345- /O.NEW.KLWX.WW.Y.0022.251202T0800Z-251202T1800Z/ Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Northwest Harford-Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson- 1238 AM EST Mon Dec 1 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 1 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations of 1 to 2 inches, with locally higher amounts upwards of 4 inches possible near the Mason-Dixon and higher elevations such as Parr`s Ridge. Ice accumulations around up to one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...Portions of north central and northern Maryland and panhandle West Virginia. * WHEN...From 3 AM to 1 PM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Precipitation is expected to overspread the area after after midnight tonight. Precipitation is expected to start as snow before mixing with sleet and freezing rain. Should precipitation stay all snow or snow for a longer period of time, locally higher snowfall amounts would be possible.

BWI: 21.4" DCA: 16.7" IAD: 24.3" RIC: 9.7” ----- SBY: 8.3"

@mitchnick putting it in the wrong thread lol

EPS was tasty... but we shall see lol

Oh okay then (this afternoon AFD from LWX) LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... A more active weather pattern is likely to build over region late this weekend and continue to the early parts of next week bringing multiple chances for wintry precipitation. The first chance in the long term period for wintry precipitation will occur Sunday into early Monday morning as a strong sfc low passes to the north with it`s attending front moving through our region on Sunday. As precipitation associated with the front moves into the region, cold air in place ahead of the boundary may allow for some front end wintry precipitation. Additional wintry precipitation will be possible on the back end side of the front as cold air rushes into the region. Model guidance continues to have considerable spread on precipitation types with freezing rain and snow possible. Based recent trends,the best chance for impactful wintry precipitation at this time will likely be in areas along and west of the I-81 corridor. A brief lull in precipitation is likely on Monday, but a strong coastal low passing to the south of the region will bring another round of precipitation to the region Tuesday into Wednesday. Weather models have a range of solutions for the Tuesday event with some solutions having a combination heavy rain and some wintry precipitation and other solutions indicating the chance for a decent accumulating snow event. National Blend of Model plume graphics really shows the uncertainty with snow solutions ranging from 0 inches to near 15 inches of snow. At this time, we continue to have low confidence in the wintry threat early next week, but it`s a period of note worth keeping an eye on for planning purposes. &&

Indeed it is