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Everything posted by yoda
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Isabel redux
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@mappy Are you doing the free NFL weekly pick'em this year in the sports forum that Wiz runs? I'm going to beat @H2O this year... but if i somehow don't, i need you to
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00z Euro/CMC/GFS = zzzzzzz for anything out in the Atlantic 00z GFS does try for some tropical luck into the W GOM Day 8 and on, but I find it hard to buy with the track
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Line drive right off the wrist... hit off the bat at 103mph... had big welt on pitching hand
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@Jrlg1181 should be getting crushed
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TVS sig up by Berkeley Springs on Radarscope
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Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Fri Aug 30 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. Central Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave over the central Tropical Atlantic continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms that are a little more concentrated near its axis. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form by early next week while it moves westward at 10 to 15 mph, approaching the Lesser Antilles. The system is then forecast to continue moving westward to west-northwestward across portions of the eastern and central Caribbean Sea by the middle part of next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. 2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: Another tropical wave just west of the coast of Africa is currently associated with an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible through the middle portion of next week as it moves slowly to the west-northwest or northwest over the Eastern Tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. Forecaster Beven
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SLGT risk for Saturday per the morning Day 2 OTLK from SPC
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Flash Flood Statement National Weather Service State College PA 1057 PM EDT Thu Aug 29 2024 PAC067-099-300600- /O.CON.KCTP.FF.W.0028.000000T0000Z-240830T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Juniata PA-Perry PA- 1057 PM EDT Thu Aug 29 2024 ...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL JUNIATA AND CENTRAL PERRY COUNTIES... At 1057 PM EDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated thunderstorms producing heavy rain. Reports of significant flash flooding in and near Thompsontown. A number of road closures, as well as several basement collapses have been reported. Between 2 and 3.5 inches of rain have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is already occurring. HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing flash flooding. SOURCE...Radar and automated gauges. IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses. Some locations that will experience flash flooding include... Newport, New Bloomfield, Spruce Hill, Mexico, Ickesburg, Loysville, Shermansdale, Thompsontown, Millerstown, Landisburg and East Salem.
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BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 658 PM EDT Thu Aug 29 2024 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... East central Fauquier County in northern Virginia... Southwestern Prince William County in northern Virginia... The southwestern City of Manassas in northern Virginia... * Until 730 PM EDT. * At 657 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 7 miles east of Bealeton, or 11 miles southeast of Warrenton, moving south at 15 mph. Numerous outflow boundary and storm collisions in southern Fauquier will result in additional severe thunderstorms. HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and ping pong ball size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Linton Hall, Nokesville, Catlett, Calverton, Midland, Aden, and Casanova. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement agency. They will send your report to the National Weather Service office in Sterling Virginia. Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.
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NWS meteorologist reported half dollar sized hail in Western Stafford county
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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 648 PM EDT Thu Aug 29 2024 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Central Allegany County in western Maryland... Northeastern Mineral County in eastern West Virginia... Northern Hampshire County in eastern West Virginia... * Until 730 PM EDT. * At 648 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Fort Ashby, or near Bel Air, and is nearly stationary. HAZARD...Two inch hail and 70 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Expect wind damage to trees and power lines. Hail is large enough to dent and damage vehicles. Some hail damage to roofs, siding, and windows is possible. * Locations impacted include... Cumberland, Fort Ashby, Ridgeley, Cresaptown, Potomac Park, Wiley Ford, Spring Gap, Patterson Creek, Pinto, Short Gap, Wagoner, North Branch, and Brady. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Prepare immediately for large hail and damaging winds. People outside should move immediately to shelter inside a strong building. Stay away from windows. To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement agency. They will send your report to the National Weather Service office in Sterling Virginia. Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. && LAT...LON 3948 7878 3951 7888 3967 7878 3966 7860 3952 7867 TIME...MOT...LOC 2248Z 249DEG 4KT 3956 7877 THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...2.00 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH
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Severe Thunderstorm Warning VAC047-061-153-179-292330- /O.NEW.KLWX.SV.W.0266.240829T2238Z-240829T2330Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 638 PM EDT Thu Aug 29 2024 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Northwestern Stafford County in northern Virginia... Southeastern Fauquier County in northern Virginia... Eastern Culpeper County in northern Virginia... South central Prince William County in northern Virginia... * Until 730 PM EDT. * At 638 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 9 miles northwest of Fredericksburg, moving north at 20 mph. HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and ping pong ball size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Midland, Heflin, Storck, Holly Corner, Roseville, Glendie, Morrisville, Hartwood, Ruby, Somerville, Goldvein, and Bristersburg. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. && LAT...LON 3836 7761 3837 7763 3836 7764 3838 7764 3837 7767 3836 7768 3836 7769 3860 7772 3860 7744 3834 7753 3834 7757 3835 7757 3835 7758 3834 7760 TIME...MOT...LOC 2238Z 181DEG 16KT 3839 7761 THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...1.50 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH
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3.5" hail marker on the storm near EZF on Radarscope... POSH 90%
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Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 630 PM EDT Thu Aug 29 2024 MDC021-031-292245- /O.CON.KLWX.SV.W.0260.000000T0000Z-240829T2245Z/ Montgomery MD-Frederick MD- 630 PM EDT Thu Aug 29 2024 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM EDT FOR NORTH CENTRAL MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN CENTRAL MARYLAND AND CENTRAL FREDERICK COUNTIES IN NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND... At 630 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from Harry Grove Stadium to Green Valley, moving north at 5 mph. HAZARD...Two inch hail and 70 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Emergency management and Trained Spotters have reported hail and wind damage with this storm. IMPACT...Expect wind damage to trees and power lines. Hail is large enough to dent and damage vehicles. Some hail damage to roofs, siding, and windows is possible. Locations impacted include... Frederick, Damascus, Harry Grove Stadium, Ballenger Creek, Mount Airy, Walkersville, New Market, Discovery-Spring Garden, Green Valley, Clover Hill, Linganore-Bartonsville, Monrovia, Ijamsville, Bloomfield, and Mount Pleasant. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Prepare immediately for large hail and damaging winds. People outside should move to a shelter, inside a strong building and away from windows. To report severe weather contact your nearest law enforcement agency. They will send your report to the National Weather Service office in Sterling Virginia. Torrential rainfall is occurring with these storms, and may lead to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.
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Probably a good thing we didn't have better deep layer shear today
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I'd also watch that storm down just west of EZF
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Two inch hail in the new updated warning Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 609 PM EDT Thu Aug 29 2024 MDC021-031-292245- /O.CON.KLWX.SV.W.0260.000000T0000Z-240829T2245Z/ Montgomery MD-Frederick MD- 609 PM EDT Thu Aug 29 2024 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM EDT FOR NORTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN CENTRAL MARYLAND AND SOUTHEASTERN FREDERICK COUNTIES IN NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND... At 608 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Ballenger Creek to near Damascus, moving north at 10 mph. HAZARD...Two inch hail and 70 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Emergency management has reported wind damage in Montgomery County. Trained Spotters have reported hail up to golf ball size. IMPACT...Expect wind damage to trees and power lines. Hail is large enough to dent and damage vehicles. Some hail damage to roofs, siding, and windows is possible. Locations impacted include... Frederick, Damascus, Harry Grove Stadium, Ballenger Creek, Mount Airy, Walkersville, New Market, Discovery-Spring Garden, Green Valley, Clover Hill, Linganore-Bartonsville, Clarksburg, Buckeystown, Monrovia, Ijamsville, Bloomfield, Mount Pleasant, and Park Mills. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Prepare immediately for large hail and damaging winds. People outside should move to a shelter, inside a strong building and away from windows. To report severe weather contact your nearest law enforcement agency. They will send your report to the National Weather Service office in Sterling Virginia. Torrential rainfall is occurring with these storms, and may lead to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. && LAT...LON 3945 7715 3935 7718 3934 7719 3933 7718 3921 7721 3925 7741 3930 7744 3952 7748 TIME...MOT...LOC 2208Z 185DEG 8KT 3933 7740 3924 7726 THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE HAIL THREAT...OBSERVED MAX HAIL SIZE...2.00 IN WIND THREAT...OBSERVED MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH
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Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 549 PM EDT Thu Aug 29 2024 MDC021-031-292200- /O.CON.KLWX.SV.W.0258.000000T0000Z-240829T2200Z/ Montgomery MD-Frederick MD- 549 PM EDT Thu Aug 29 2024 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM EDT FOR NORTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN CENTRAL MARYLAND AND SOUTHEASTERN FREDERICK COUNTIES IN NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND... At 548 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Boyds, or near Germantown, moving north at 15 mph. HAZARD...Golf ball size hail and 70 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Trained weather spotters have reported hail up to golf ball sized. Emergency Management has reported wind damage in western Montgomery County. IMPACT...Expect wind damage to trees and power lines. Hail is large enough to dent and damage vehicles. Some hail damage to roofs, siding, and windows is possible. Locations impacted include... Germantown, Damascus, Ballenger Creek, Boyds, Clarksburg, Buckeystown, Barnesville, Dickerson, Beallsville, and Park Mills. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Prepare immediately for large hail and damaging winds. People outside should move to a shelter, inside a strong building and away from windows. To report severe weather contact your nearest law enforcement agency. They will send your report to the National Weather Service office in Sterling Virginia. Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. && LAT...LON 3914 7724 3917 7744 3936 7743 3932 7718 TIME...MOT...LOC 2148Z 194DEG 14KT 3925 7732 THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE HAIL THREAT...OBSERVED MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN WIND THREAT...OBSERVED MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH
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@BlizzardNole @Kmlwx anything good?
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Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 519 PM EDT Thu Aug 29 2024 MDC021-031-292200- /O.CON.KLWX.SV.W.0258.000000T0000Z-240829T2200Z/ Montgomery MD-Frederick MD- 519 PM EDT Thu Aug 29 2024 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM EDT FOR NORTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN CENTRAL MARYLAND AND SOUTHEASTERN FREDERICK COUNTIES IN NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND... At 519 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Poolesville, moving north at 15 mph. HAZARD...Golf ball size hail and 70 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Expect wind damage to trees and power lines. Hail is large enough to dent and damage vehicles. Some hail damage to roofs, siding, and windows is possible. Locations impacted include... Germantown, Damascus, Lowes Island, Poolesville, North Potomac, Ballenger Creek, Countryside, Boyds, Clarksburg, Darnestown, Adamstown, Buckeystown, Barnesville, Park Mills, Dickerson, Beallsville, Dawsonville, and Tuscarora. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. To report severe weather contact your nearest law enforcement agency. They will send your report to the National Weather Service office in Sterling Virginia. Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. && LAT...LON 3932 7718 3904 7728 3906 7734 3906 7737 3907 7746 3911 7748 3912 7750 3918 7750 3919 7748 3921 7747 3922 7746 3925 7749 3936 7746 TIME...MOT...LOC 2119Z 192DEG 15KT 3916 7737 THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE HAIL THREAT...OBSERVED MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH
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