yoda

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 300 AM EST Wed Dec 4 2024 ...A potent cold front will push across the Allegheny Front late this evening into Thursday. This will bring heavy snow and blustery winds, leading to whiteout conditions at times... MDZ001-WVZ501-505-041600- /O.UPG.KLWX.WS.A.0010.241205T0200Z-241205T2000Z/ /O.NEW.KLWX.BZ.W.0003.241205T0200Z-241205T2000Z/ Garrett-Western Grant-Western Pendleton- 300 AM EST Wed Dec 4 2024 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions possible. Total snow accumulations between 4 and 8 inches possible, locally up to 10 inches. Winds could gust as high as 55 mph. * WHERE...In Maryland, Garrett County. In West Virginia, Western Grant and Western Pendleton Counties. * WHEN...From 9 PM this evening to 3 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Whiteout conditions are possible and may make travel treacherous and potentially life-threatening. Gusty winds may down trees limbs resulting in power outages. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The heaviest snow and lowest visibility are most likely early Thursday morning, and may impact the Thursday morning commute. Blowing snow may continue to reduce visibility through Thursday afternoon even after accumulating snow ends. Wind chills will drop to near or below zero by Thursday evening. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. A Blizzard Warning means severe winter weather conditions are expected or occurring. Falling and blowing snow with strong winds are likely. This will lead to whiteout conditions, making travel extremely dangerous. Do not travel. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay in your vehicle.

So I guess Wednesday night into Thursday is our last chance to get some snow for a bit?

Lol vague indeed https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/42743167/ravens-john-harbaugh-vague-future-wr-diontae-johnson

[Gollum] What is snow precious? [/Gollum]

Apparently inactive for the game. Ravens have 3 RBs ahead of him

You had one job Ravens...

Are you sure it's not flakes of ash from Mt. Doom nearby?

Where has this Commanders team been?

Is this a good or bad thing? Tbh, I don't need a huge storm... a simple 2-4 would do for me

Heavy ice storm FWIW lol Close to half inch of ice into DC metro

12z GFS looks... weird? At day 9

31 at 9pm at DCA

I believe 12z ICON would be good for us... the run ends at 180, but 1037mb HP up top in Canada moving east in tandem with the moisture It is a bit slower than the GFS, but it looks to have the same idea. Definitely not in the Euro camp

Some of the soundings are fascinating in GA/SC... yes it's the CMC at Day 8... but 30 degrees with freezing rain and 850c temp of +8

00z CMC is about a day later than the GFS, and drops a major ice storm into GA/SC/NC Nice hit for S VA into NC snow wise...

We got it under 200 hours lol

00z GFS looks good at 186...

38/15 at 8pm at DCA

Wednesday into Thursday maybe? Afternoon discussion from LWX LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... The extended forecast will be defined by a large upper trough centered over eastern Canada with axis extending into the southern US. A series of potent shortwaves are expected to pivot around the trough. The finer details of these features have been variable run- to-run, but as of now one shortwave is expected Monday into Tuesday and then a stronger shortwave Wednesday into Thursday. The deep trough over the eastern CONUS will put the region squarely in a frigid cold air mass, with high temperatures topping out in the low 40s for most of the area through Wednesday, 20s to 30s in the mountains. Wind chills could knock an additional 10-20 degrees off that. With forcing and cold temperatures present, the main uncertainty lies then with available moisture. The deep cold air mass is also expected to be starved of moisture, with less than 1.00in PWATs throughout the extended. The most likely scenario for next week is a burst of upslope mountain snow with each shortwave. However, probabilities of snow east of the mountains have trended higher for the Wednesday/Thursday wave. Recent runs have strengthened this second disturbance, and moisture has trended higher as well, with ensembles showing a range of 0.30-0.50 PWATs. Snow probs for measurable snow east of the mountains, including the I-95 corridor/DC metro, are now around 40-50% for 12z Wed to 12z Thu. If this materializes, not much accumulation is expected given the lack of moisture, but even so the main concern will be timing. Given the extended period of bitter cold, surface temperatures could be near or just below freezing. Currently the better timing for precip is Wednesday afternoon when temperatures are warmer, but a slower system could mean wintry precip coinciding with colder temps and Wednesday`s morning commute. Even light accumulation in these conditions could present significant traveling hazards. As such, we will continue to monitor closely for this potential. For beyond Wednesday, a strong upper low is progged to swing into southeast Canada/the Northeast near the end of the week. While expected to dunk the NE CONUS into another bitter cold air mass, the air mass is also likely to be very dry. Some upslope snow could continue Thursday into Friday, but the better forcing also appears to stay to our north.

12z GFS is nice for the 10th to the 12th time period

Well a 1042mb sprawling banana to our north in Canada definitely helps

Just seeing accumulating snow in December would be a win for me

It's the 12z CMC at the end of its run, but I'd like to think it was getting ready for something good after 240 looking at SLP/HP placement and h5... I think lol

00z GFS (it's a 72 hour map because it's spread out over a few days)