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yoda

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Everything posted by yoda

  1. 12z GFS is pretty much a miss, 12z CMC gets heavy rain into most of the region early next week - Monday into Tuesday
  2. Is this early out there? URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1235 PM EDT Sat Sep 7 2024 VAZ503-WVZ505-080615- /O.NEW.KLWX.FR.Y.0005.240908T0600Z-240908T1300Z/ Western Highland-Western Pendleton- Including the cities of Hightown and Riverton 1235 PM EDT Sat Sep 7 2024 ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM EDT SUNDAY... * WHAT...Temperatures in the mid 30s will result in frost formation. * WHERE...In Virginia, Western Highland County. In West Virginia, Western Pendleton County. * WHEN...From 2 AM to 9 AM EDT Sunday. * IMPACTS...Frost could harm sensitive outdoor vegetation. Sensitive outdoor plants may be killed if left uncovered. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.
  3. Looks like nothing at 5pm from NHC
  4. Ah okay. I hope you are doing well though. Miss your posts in this forum. Hope all is going well outside of here
  5. @mappy Are you doing the free NFL weekly pick'em this year in the sports forum that Wiz runs? I'm going to beat @H2O this year... but if i somehow don't, i need you to
  6. 00z Euro/CMC/GFS = zzzzzzz for anything out in the Atlantic 00z GFS does try for some tropical luck into the W GOM Day 8 and on, but I find it hard to buy with the track
  7. Line drive right off the wrist... hit off the bat at 103mph... had big welt on pitching hand
  8. @Jrlg1181 should be getting crushed
  9. TVS sig up by Berkeley Springs on Radarscope
  10. Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Fri Aug 30 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. Central Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave over the central Tropical Atlantic continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms that are a little more concentrated near its axis. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form by early next week while it moves westward at 10 to 15 mph, approaching the Lesser Antilles. The system is then forecast to continue moving westward to west-northwestward across portions of the eastern and central Caribbean Sea by the middle part of next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. 2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: Another tropical wave just west of the coast of Africa is currently associated with an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible through the middle portion of next week as it moves slowly to the west-northwest or northwest over the Eastern Tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. Forecaster Beven
  11. SLGT risk for Saturday per the morning Day 2 OTLK from SPC
  12. Flash Flood Statement National Weather Service State College PA 1057 PM EDT Thu Aug 29 2024 PAC067-099-300600- /O.CON.KCTP.FF.W.0028.000000T0000Z-240830T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Juniata PA-Perry PA- 1057 PM EDT Thu Aug 29 2024 ...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL JUNIATA AND CENTRAL PERRY COUNTIES... At 1057 PM EDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated thunderstorms producing heavy rain. Reports of significant flash flooding in and near Thompsontown. A number of road closures, as well as several basement collapses have been reported. Between 2 and 3.5 inches of rain have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is already occurring. HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing flash flooding. SOURCE...Radar and automated gauges. IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses. Some locations that will experience flash flooding include... Newport, New Bloomfield, Spruce Hill, Mexico, Ickesburg, Loysville, Shermansdale, Thompsontown, Millerstown, Landisburg and East Salem.
  13. BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 658 PM EDT Thu Aug 29 2024 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... East central Fauquier County in northern Virginia... Southwestern Prince William County in northern Virginia... The southwestern City of Manassas in northern Virginia... * Until 730 PM EDT. * At 657 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 7 miles east of Bealeton, or 11 miles southeast of Warrenton, moving south at 15 mph. Numerous outflow boundary and storm collisions in southern Fauquier will result in additional severe thunderstorms. HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and ping pong ball size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Linton Hall, Nokesville, Catlett, Calverton, Midland, Aden, and Casanova. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement agency. They will send your report to the National Weather Service office in Sterling Virginia. Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.
  14. NWS meteorologist reported half dollar sized hail in Western Stafford county
  15. BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 648 PM EDT Thu Aug 29 2024 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Central Allegany County in western Maryland... Northeastern Mineral County in eastern West Virginia... Northern Hampshire County in eastern West Virginia... * Until 730 PM EDT. * At 648 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Fort Ashby, or near Bel Air, and is nearly stationary. HAZARD...Two inch hail and 70 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Expect wind damage to trees and power lines. Hail is large enough to dent and damage vehicles. Some hail damage to roofs, siding, and windows is possible. * Locations impacted include... Cumberland, Fort Ashby, Ridgeley, Cresaptown, Potomac Park, Wiley Ford, Spring Gap, Patterson Creek, Pinto, Short Gap, Wagoner, North Branch, and Brady. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Prepare immediately for large hail and damaging winds. People outside should move immediately to shelter inside a strong building. Stay away from windows. To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement agency. They will send your report to the National Weather Service office in Sterling Virginia. Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. && LAT...LON 3948 7878 3951 7888 3967 7878 3966 7860 3952 7867 TIME...MOT...LOC 2248Z 249DEG 4KT 3956 7877 THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...2.00 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH
  16. Severe Thunderstorm Warning VAC047-061-153-179-292330- /O.NEW.KLWX.SV.W.0266.240829T2238Z-240829T2330Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 638 PM EDT Thu Aug 29 2024 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Northwestern Stafford County in northern Virginia... Southeastern Fauquier County in northern Virginia... Eastern Culpeper County in northern Virginia... South central Prince William County in northern Virginia... * Until 730 PM EDT. * At 638 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 9 miles northwest of Fredericksburg, moving north at 20 mph. HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and ping pong ball size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Midland, Heflin, Storck, Holly Corner, Roseville, Glendie, Morrisville, Hartwood, Ruby, Somerville, Goldvein, and Bristersburg. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. && LAT...LON 3836 7761 3837 7763 3836 7764 3838 7764 3837 7767 3836 7768 3836 7769 3860 7772 3860 7744 3834 7753 3834 7757 3835 7757 3835 7758 3834 7760 TIME...MOT...LOC 2238Z 181DEG 16KT 3839 7761 THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...1.50 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH
  17. 3.5" hail marker on the storm near EZF on Radarscope... POSH 90%
  18. Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 630 PM EDT Thu Aug 29 2024 MDC021-031-292245- /O.CON.KLWX.SV.W.0260.000000T0000Z-240829T2245Z/ Montgomery MD-Frederick MD- 630 PM EDT Thu Aug 29 2024 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM EDT FOR NORTH CENTRAL MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN CENTRAL MARYLAND AND CENTRAL FREDERICK COUNTIES IN NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND... At 630 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from Harry Grove Stadium to Green Valley, moving north at 5 mph. HAZARD...Two inch hail and 70 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Emergency management and Trained Spotters have reported hail and wind damage with this storm. IMPACT...Expect wind damage to trees and power lines. Hail is large enough to dent and damage vehicles. Some hail damage to roofs, siding, and windows is possible. Locations impacted include... Frederick, Damascus, Harry Grove Stadium, Ballenger Creek, Mount Airy, Walkersville, New Market, Discovery-Spring Garden, Green Valley, Clover Hill, Linganore-Bartonsville, Monrovia, Ijamsville, Bloomfield, and Mount Pleasant. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Prepare immediately for large hail and damaging winds. People outside should move to a shelter, inside a strong building and away from windows. To report severe weather contact your nearest law enforcement agency. They will send your report to the National Weather Service office in Sterling Virginia. Torrential rainfall is occurring with these storms, and may lead to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.
  19. Probably a good thing we didn't have better deep layer shear today
  20. I'd also watch that storm down just west of EZF
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