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https://mobile.twitter.com/iembot_lwx/status/1119408944525578240
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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 828 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2019 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Northeastern Washington County in north central Maryland... * Until 845 PM EDT. * At 827 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Wayne Heights, or near Waynesboro, moving northeast at 55 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...For those in the direct path of a tornado touchdown, flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Damage to roofs, siding, and windows may occur. Mobile homes may be damaged or destroyed. Tree damage is likely. * Locations impacted include... Smithsburg, Cavetown, Leitersburg and Ringgold.
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BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 821 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2019 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Stafford County in northern Virginia... Eastern Orange County in central Virginia... The northwestern City of Fredericksburg in central Virginia... Southeastern Fauquier County in northern Virginia... Southeastern Culpeper County in northern Virginia... The City of Manassas Park in northern Virginia... Southwestern Prince William County in northern Virginia... The City of Manassas in northern Virginia... North central Spotsylvania County in central Virginia... * Until 900 PM EDT. * At 820 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from 7 miles southeast of Warrenton to 7 miles southeast of Bealeton to 9 miles northwest of Spotsylvania, moving northeast at 30 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Stafford, Dale City, Fredericksburg, Linton Hall, Montclair, Bull Run, Manassas, Sudley, Manassas Park, New Baltimore, Independent Hill, Nokesville, Catlett, Calverton, Midland, Roseville, Garrisonville, Casanova, Ramoth and Heflin.
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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 806 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2019 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Northeastern Washington County in north central Maryland... Northwestern Frederick County in north central Maryland... Northern Jefferson County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... * Until 830 PM EDT. * At 806 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Shepherdstown, moving northeast at 55 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...For those in the direct path of a tornado touchdown, flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Damage to roofs, siding, and windows may occur. Mobile homes may be damaged or destroyed. Tree damage is likely. * Locations impacted include... Robinwood, Boonsboro, Smithsburg, Mount Aetna, Mount Lena, San Mar, Wolfsville, Myersville, Cavetown, Keedysville, Sharpsburg, Fairplay, Chewsville and Pleasant Walk.
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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Wakefield VA 740 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2019 The National Weather Service in Wakefield has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Eastern Louisa County in central Virginia... Northwestern Goochland County in central Virginia... * Until 815 PM EDT. * At 740 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Fife, or near Hadensville, moving northeast at 45 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Hadensville around 745 PM EDT. Louisa around 800 PM EDT. Mineral around 805 PM EDT.
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BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 710 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2019 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Orange County in central Virginia... Southeastern Culpeper County in northern Virginia... Northwestern Spotsylvania County in central Virginia... * Until 800 PM EDT. * At 709 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Ferncliff, or 7 miles southwest of Louisa, moving north at 50 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Raccoon Ford, Mine Run, Rhoadesville, Parker, Rapidan, Verdiersville, Everona, Burr Hill, Locust Grove, Flat Run, Gold Dale, Thornhill, Nasons, Winston, Mitchells, Lahore, Lake Of The Woods and Unionville.
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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Wakefield VA 708 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2019 The National Weather Service in Wakefield has issued a * Tornado Warning for... North central Louisa County in central Virginia... * Until 745 PM EDT. * At 707 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Ferncliff, or 7 miles northwest of Hadensville, moving northeast at 45 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Louisa and Mineral around 720 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Wares Crossroads, Louisa Airport, Vawter Corner, Byrd Mill and Trevilians.
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Fluvanna County tornado warned storm is on a path to DC metro region... let's see if it maintains its strength/severity
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@C.A.P.E. STW issued for S and SE PA till 11 pm - for CTP CWA
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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 615 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2019 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Northwestern Washington County in north central Maryland... East central Allegany County in western Maryland... Northern Morgan County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... * Until 645 PM EDT. * At 615 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Berkeley Springs, or 9 miles southwest of Hancock, moving northeast at 35 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...For those in the direct path of a tornado touchdown, flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Damage to roofs, siding, and windows may occur. Mobile homes may be damaged or destroyed. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Berkeley Springs around 620 PM EDT. Hancock around 630 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Great Cacapon, Forest Park, Lineburg, Berryville, Spohrs Crossroads, Sleepy Creek, Shady Grove, Fishers Bridge, Little Orleans and Pecktonville.
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Those tornado warned storms on the RNK/AKQ border are moving NE toward the DC metro region in the next couple of hours I believe
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https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0408.html Mesoscale Discussion 0408 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0332 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2019 Areas affected...DC...VA...MD...WV Concerning...Tornado Watch 90... Valid 192032Z - 192130Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 90 continues. SUMMARY...Severe threat should increase across ww90 over the next few hours. DISCUSSION...Leading edge of large-scale forcing for ascent appears to be approaching the southern portions of ww90. Multiple long-lived supercells have evolved ahead of a broken squall line across northern NC into southern VA. This convective regime is expected to shift north into the southern portions of ww90 within the next few hours. Tornado threat will be primarily confined to the discrete supercells; however, brief squall-line tornadoes could be noted within an otherwise gusty squall line. Severe threat should spread from south to north into the early evening hours. ..Darrow.. 04/19/2019 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...LWX...RNK...
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Guess we are watching the storms in S VA right now moving NE
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Day 1 MOD RISK issued for C VA into SC
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Haven't seen numbers that high around here in quite a while
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00z HRRR crushes the region between 23z and 01z with the main line and has a nice UD Helicity swath right over DC
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Which isn't what either the 18z NAM or 18z NAM NEST show... or the 00z HRRR
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Huh? SPC moved the SLGT and ENH north a good amount... the disco from LWX sounds good as listed above... 18z NAM has a nice QLCS or squall line coming through the region... 18z NAM NEST has some sups around...
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Both 18z NAM and 18z NAM NEST look pretty good for severe in our region tomorrow afternoon into tomorrow night
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Guess LWX thinks otherwise Flood Watch National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 207 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2019 DCZ001-MDZ003>006-011-013-014-016-503>508-VAZ031-052>055-501-502- 505-506-WVZ052-053-190215- /O.NEW.KLWX.FF.A.0001.190419T1600Z-190420T0900Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ District of Columbia-Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll- Northern Baltimore-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel- Charles-Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery- Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford- Southeast Harford-Clarke-Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- Fairfax-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford- Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier-Western Loudoun- Eastern Loudoun-Berkeley-Jefferson- Including the cities of Washington, Hagerstown, Frederick, Ballenger Creek, Eldersburg, Westminster, Reisterstown, Cockeysville, Baltimore, Bowie, Suitland-Silver Hill, Clinton, College Park, Greenbelt, Laurel, Camp Springs, Glen Burnie, Annapolis, Severn, South Gate, Severna Park, Arnold, Odenton, St. Charles, Waldorf, Germantown, Damascus, Bethesda, Rockville, Gaithersburg, Silver Spring, Lisbon, Columbia, Ellicott City, Jarrettsville, Aberdeen, Berryville, Dale City, Manassas, Woodbridge, Lake Ridge, Montclair, Reston, Herndon, Annandale, Centreville, Chantilly, McLean, Franconia, Arlington, Alexandria, Falls Church, Falmouth, Warrenton, Turnbull, Purcellville, Leesburg, Ashburn, Sterling, Martinsburg, Charles Town, and Shepherdstown 207 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2019 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT... The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Flash Flood Watch for portions of Maryland, The District of Columbia, Virginia, and panhandle West Virginia, including the following areas, in the District of Columbia, Washington DC. In Maryland, Anne Arundel, Carroll, Howard, Montgomery, Charles, Frederick, Baltimore, Harford, Prince Georges and Washington counties. In Virginia, Arlington, Clarke, Loudoun, Fairfax, Fauquier, Prince William and Stafford counties and adjacent independent cities. In eastern West Virginia, Berkeley and Jefferson counties. * From Friday afternoon through late Friday night * Showers and thunderstorms with heavy rain are expected to overspread the region by Friday afternoon and continue through Friday evening before departing late Friday night. Training storms and multiple rounds of heavy rain may result in rainfall amounts which could exceed 3 inches locally. Flash flooding is possible, particularly in the urban areas. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation. You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.
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Afternoon AFD from LWX about tomorrow into tomorrow night:
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SPC moves both SLGT risk and ENH risk northward on the 1730 OTLK
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@Kmlwx This afternoon's LWX AFD seems to think otherwise re instability... I guess ample would be like around 1000 J/KG:
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Not sure how DT is on severe weather... but he makes it sound ominous for Friday into Friday night https://mobile.twitter.com/DTVaWeatherman/status/1117982722838994944
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EF2 tornado confirmed in Sussex County DE per NWS PHL https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/total_forecast/getprod.php?new&prod=XXXPNSPHI&wfo=phi
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