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yoda

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Everything posted by yoda

  1. yoda
    12z NAM in Augusta/Rockingham counties at 03z MON
  2. yoda
    12z NAM in SW St. Mary's County at 09z MON
  3. yoda
    @Kmlwx @high risk SPC 12z HREF ensemble mean paints fixed layer STP of 4 to 7 across the region from around 03z to 08z MON Also shows 40% or greater ensemble probability of fixed layer STP >3 from 03z to 08z MON
  4. yoda
    Falling asleep - yes I know its 4am - and a loud rumble of thunder woke me back up
  5. yoda
    New Day 2 has SLGT almost to the i95 corridor and west for late Sunday into Sunday night
  6. yoda
    Charles County MD at 08z MON aka La Plata tornado zone from the 00z NAM NEST
  7. yoda
    Def agree and good post. I edited my post above and posted a sounding at 03z MON a little bit NW of CHO... prob overdone but PDS TOR lol
  8. yoda
    Just NW of CHO... Rockingham/Greene/Albermarle county area... first of the year lol
  9. yoda
    @high risk What do you think of the 00z NAM NEST tonight? STP looks to be pretty high across the region from 02z to 08z MON... looking at it on weather.cod.edu
  10. yoda
    TOG near Fuquay-Varina... was decent for a moment looking at CC ETA: Solak posted image above
  11. yoda
    Tree damage reported in Cumberland with the severe thunderstorm in W MD
  12. yoda
    STW up in W MD and extreme N WV... winds to 60mph
  13. yoda
    Afternoon AFD from LWX seems to hint at that:
  14. yoda
    HWO does mention risk... even states an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out due to hodograph 12z NAM seems to also have two distinct "threat" periods... one around 00z and one around 09z looking at the soundings
  15. yoda
    SPC day 1 OTLK has marginal risk for good amount of the LWX CWA... 5% hail and 5% wind
  16. yoda
    LWX seems to still like late Sunday into Sunday night for some possible severe
  17. yoda
    Looks nice... but its a lill early for our liking as best parameters are around noon
  18. yoda
    LWX seems to suggest late Sunday into Sunday night could be a threat for a few severe storms
  19. yoda
    If I am reading it right, 12z CMC says that Sunday afternoon into Sunday night would be a nice severe weather event... 995mb SLP in NE KY at 18z SUN to 991mb SLP in W PA at 00z MON... Too bad its the CMC lol
  20. yoda
    LWX mentions QLCS and nice low level and deep layer shear
  21. yoda
    LWX seems to think Friday could be intriguing based off their afternoon AFD
  22. yoda
    STW down in Albermarle County suggests hail quarter to golf ball sized reported by trained spotters
  23. yoda
    Ah okay. True... but game doesn't start till like almost 9:30 PM lol To bring it back on topic -- 3km NAM does look really nice. The sun has been out for a nice while and temps are warming into the mid 70s already
  24. yoda
    I think by 11 PM you should be fine to celebrate lol
  25. yoda
    I think its for this afternoon
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