yoda

Hmmm Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 211 PM EST Tue Feb 11 2025 .SYNOPSIS... Low pressure tracking to our south will continue to bring snow to the region through tonight. Expect a lull in precipitation on Wednesday morning as a mid-level dry slot moves overhead. Another low pressure system brings additional wintry precipitation Wednesday afternoon through Wednesday night, mainly in the higher elevations. A cold front crosses the area Thursday afternoon, bringing blustery conditions. High pressure builds overhead Friday before yet another low pressure brings precipitation chances to the area for the weekend. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... Current radar trends remain largely in line with the current forecast. Snow will continue to drift north and gradually overspread the region through this afternoon. For now, many areas are still battling dry air, especially north of the I-64 corridor. So, at least for the next hour or two, still going to have pretty light rates with small flakes and very little in terms of accumulation. Over central VA, along and just north of the I-64 corridor, some heavy snow is ongoing, with report of 6 or more inches up on the Blue Ridge. So, it seems that the heavier band is setting up about where it was expected to. Today`s guidance has shown a bit of an upward trend further north as well, owing to a secondary area of FGEN forcing that is pretty consistently showing up amongst the guidance. Still not quite clear where the heavier band of precipitation associated with this feature will set up, but seems likely that western MD will now get a few additional inches in response to this. So, have added them into the warning for the current storm. Elsewhere, generally between I-66 and I-70, there could be some isolated higher amounts if this band does develop. For now, amounts have been ever so slightly increased, but no northward expansion of Winter Storm Warnings are needed at this time. Generally speaking, expect a swath of 3-6 inches south of I-70 and 6 to 9 inches south of I-66, with localized amounts up to a foot up along the Blue Ridge. Additionally, could see some localized higher amounts towards Highland county on the ridges there. The bulk of precipitation will exit the region early Wednesday morning, but turn into a light drizzle/flurry situation into the day on Wednesday (see short term below).

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 115 PM EST Tue Feb 11 2025 DCZ001-MDZ013-014-016>018-VAZ053>055-057-526-527-120215- /O.CON.KLWX.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-250212T1200Z/ District of Columbia-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Charles-St. Marys-Calvert-Fairfax-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford- King George-Northwest Prince William-Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- 115 PM EST Tue Feb 11 2025 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 4 and 7 inches. * WHERE...The District of Columbia, central and southern Maryland, and central and northern Virginia. * WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact today`s evening commute, as well as the morning commute on Wednesday. Roads may become impassable due to the combination of heavy, wet snow through tonight, followed by significant icing Wednesday afternoon and evening. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The steadiest snow is expected late this afternoon and evening. Snowfall rates around 1 to 2 inches per hour and visibility below one half mile are possible during this time. A light wintry mix may continue into Wednesday

Loudoun 3 hr early closing Prince William 2 hour early closing

Stafford/Spotsylvania/Fauquier all closed tomorrow King George closed Warren is Virtual Learning only Prince George in MD 2 hour early dismissal Frederick County in MD 3.5 hr early dismissal

Schools are beginning to close outright for tomorrow

Will someone PLEASE... get this man a warning (taken from John Wick Chapter 2)

Dryslot comes charging through/precipitation ends just after 66

PW

Moves into MD at 63... DCA changes to rain

Heavy snow DC metro at 60 on 12z gfs

6" just south of DC metro on 10:1 maps by 03z

More like 6-10

12z 3km NAM Kuchera

12z NAM Kuchera through 48 12z NAM 10:1 though 48

0.75 QPF around BWI

Still snowing lightly at 45 on 12z NAM

System winding down at 42 but still snowing across the region

Ripping still at 39... mod snow still back at the OH/WV border Upper 20s for temps

DC metro 6" by 36 (00z Wed) on 12z NAM

Mod to heavy snow for most at 21z Tuesday (33 hours)

Mod to heavy snow DCA to EZF... light to moderate north of DC metro into MD at 18z Tues (hr 30) on 12z NAM

12z NAM looks fine through 24 IMO... snow in DC metro by 15z

This is what I'm thinking of now every time someone says we need to will the storm north some