yoda

Rain in most of DE, S MD at 20z... rain not far away from DC metro tbh

Hmmm... 00z HRRR really spiking temperatures too...

00z HRRR is still snow DC metro at 15z... but pingers are nearby

No you're not

Nah, school will be closed

CLOSED

What if I wake up at 12:01am?

Luckily its the ICON showing that... for now

Note: sleet does enter the picture around hr 46 for DCA

I'll take the 18z RGEM though

Yes. At DCA, 700-900 above freezing...

Then we all rip with freezing rain on the icon... 700-900mb blasted

Fwiw, 18z ICON would be 6-10" before flip for most

Yes I know its the 18z HRRR at the end of its run, but note 700-800mb. Doesn't go positive aka above 0c. This is the sounding at DCA. Yes, its probably rimed snow... but i don't think this shows a pure sleet profile

Still snow at 46 at DCA thanks to rates... but its not isothermal yet

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 216 PM EST Fri Jan 23 2026 MDZ021-VAZ048-060>062-064-068-069-075-076-082-083-090-509>522-240330- /O.UPG.KAKQ.WS.A.0001.260124T1800Z-260126T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KAKQ.WS.W.0001.260124T1800Z-260127T0000Z/ Dorchester-Fluvanna-Prince Edward-Cumberland-Goochland-Caroline- Amelia-Powhatan-Westmoreland-Richmond-Charles City-New Kent-James City-Western Louisa-Eastern Louisa-Western Hanover-Eastern Hanover-Western Chesterfield-Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)-Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico-Western King William-Eastern King William-Western King and Queen-Eastern King and Queen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex- 216 PM EST Fri Jan 23 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SATURDAY TO 7 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Snow and sleet will accumulate Saturday evening and overnight and then change to freezing rain during the day Sunday. Total snow and sleet accumulations Saturday night into Sunday morning between 4 and 9 inches and ice accumulations up to three quarters of an inch Sunday into Sunday night. * WHERE...Portions of southeast Maryland and central, east central, north central, and southeast Virginia. * WHEN...From 1 PM Saturday to 7 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Devastating impacts are expected including widespread power outages and tree damage due to the ice. Travel could quickly become nearly impossible. Due to the increasing wind on Monday, additional tree damage and power outages are possible. People should prepare for power outages to potentially last for several days along with extreme cold.

Also here now https://www.fox5dc.com/weather/gov-wes-moore-declares-state-emergency-maryland-due-winter-storm

DC SoE https://www.wusa9.com/article/weather/severe-weather/dc-state-of-emergency-mayor-muriel-bowser-snow-weather/65-30832e93-82c4-4de9-b0ac-64b1f395389a

When he sees the Euro drop loads of QPF in his dreams he... okay I'll see myself out

H/t @high risk for another goodie

No... just... no...

@Terpeast Wouldn't this sounding suggest +SN at DCA still at 18z? 700mb to 800mb is nearly isothermal, but just below zero. If rates were to be heavy enough, I guess rimed snow?

@NorthArlington101 did you have a Snickers?

Where? At DCA?

Its over for us around 252... but since its 30 hours I cant do a PW 24 hr snapshot... but sounds right