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wncsnow

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Everything posted by wncsnow

  1. wncsnow
    But when I said last night there were trends for less QPF in western sections everyone jumped on me
  2. wncsnow
    UKMET with the save. Its still a high performing model
  3. wncsnow
    Noticed that no one posted the UKMET.. anyone have some snow maps?
  4. wncsnow
    Death blow
  5. wncsnow
    Yes but the way these models have been spitting out ridiculous amounts for days on end with ensemble means agreeing to a ridiculous extent.. it is disappointing if we get a typical storm instead of a blockbuster..
  6. wncsnow
    Starting to look like your typical winter storm for WNC/Foothills and triad. 4-6 inches of snow then sleet and ice on top... Nothing too special about it
  7. wncsnow
    This is starting to look like your typical 4-6 or 6-8 inch storm with some sleet and ice on top. Nothing once in a generational.. Could be wrong but that seems to be the trend today
  8. wncsnow
    Snow maps starting to look more realistic
  9. wncsnow
    Freezing rain showing up much further north now into the triad on the GFS
  10. wncsnow
    It's showing some freezing rain sneaking into the French Broad valley at 72 which will likely cut down on totals this run
  11. wncsnow
    Doubt it. Had already started to switch to sleet in our area at 84. Look at the sounding.
  12. wncsnow
    Yes it isn't finished but.. the front end thump being advertised isn't looking as impressive on the NAM.
  13. wncsnow
    Total QPF for NAM... very dry for triangle and no way it gets to 1 inch qpf there as modeled
  14. wncsnow
    The nam is definitely on the drier side for the whole area, which seems odd considering it used to be the most amped up/heavy qpf.... It shows the front end thump being not much more than a nuisance
  15. wncsnow
    You can see the effects o the strong confluence on the simulated radar
  16. wncsnow
    12Z Nam is already looking more suppressed out to 42..
  17. wncsnow
    We need a more expansive precip shield on the north side of the storm. Out totals are dropped from 18 to 12 to under 8 now on the Euro..
  18. wncsnow
    Ouch. Getting close to being a whiff here. We still get .75 to 1 inch qpf but its trending south. Nothing as close Lynchburg
  19. wncsnow
    Euro is rolling..
  20. wncsnow
    As expected the snow map wasnt quite as crazy with amounts due to slightly less QPF.
  21. wncsnow

    West of Asheville there is definitely less. The heavisst band sets up more over the piedmont on that iteration of the model. I'm no newbie.

  22. wncsnow
    Keep toggling
  23. wncsnow
    It is less in the mountains of NC. Many more places with less than 1 inch total qpf at 96 compared to 18z. Maybe .25 to .50 less in places the western most part of the state on GFS
  24. wncsnow
    Through 90 there is less total precip over WNC
  25. wncsnow
    Never thought it could possibly trend too far.. south? Starting to look like less precip up into VA with more suppression but still a lot of time to go. About time for late NW adjustments
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